@ACapitalLP ACapitalLP
Anon special-situations PM trading HoldCo/SOTP and catalyst stubs with NAV math
Posts original event-driven and special-situations theses —
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, +0.04% mean alpha, trader score +0.02. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.7% since posting (mean over 35 mentions with price data).
ACapitalLP is focused on event-driven value: NAV discounts, SOTP gaps, litigation/regulatory catalysts, and asset validation trades. The clearest directional trade is long ARM/OAI exposure through a discount setup, while most other posts are thesis frameworks rather than explicit trades. No explicit late-week flip or add/trim is visible; the window is concentrated in June 19 catalyst writeups, with ARM resurfacing later as the active directional idea.
No explicit adds, trims, exits, or position flips appear in the supplied signals. The author’s concentration is in June 19 catalyst frameworks across NAV/SOTP, litigation, regulatory, and asset-validation trades, with ARM later emerging as the only directional call. Pump-risk is most relevant where repeated thesis signals cluster around GNW/ACT and SATS/SPCX rather than broad independent confirmation.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | SFTBY | @ACapitalLP | +0.35 | Wonders if government OpenAI stake could be bullish for SoftBank via higher IPO odds. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ECHO | @ACapitalLP | +0.00 | Wonders if government OpenAI stake could be bullish for SoftBank via higher IPO odds. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @ACapitalLP | · | Author recaps shorting several unnamed stocks and making money every time. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SESG.FP | @ACapitalLP | -0.45 | Says SESG.FP core business is valued at $0 after FCC announcement. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | ZEG.LN | @ACapitalLP | +0.55 | Calls ZEG.LN cheap versus EU telco peers and notes buybacks versus spot price. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | ZEG.LN | @ACapitalLP | +0.55 | Says ZEG.LN real value driver is capital return policy expected by September. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | PURR | @ACapitalLP | +0.00 | Describes PURR as a proxy for momentum, stance unclear. | +2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | AKER | @ACapitalLP | -0.10 | Questions thesis of long genomic and short space ETF trade. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | AKER | @ACapitalLP | +0.20 | Suggests hedging listed components to isolate implied NScale value. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | FRMI | @ACapitalLP | -0.25 | Calls FRMI town hall absurd. | -12.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SOC | @ACapitalLP | -0.05 | Questions legal outcome assumptions for SOC. | +38.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SOC | @ACapitalLP | +0.15 | Frames SOC as binary zero or $15+ but path-dependent. | +38.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SOC | @ACapitalLP | +0.35 | Discusses upside if judge rules in SOC favor and refi risk clears. | +38.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | XOM | @ACapitalLP | +0.00 | Discusses upside if judge rules in SOC favor and refi risk clears. | +0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SOC | @ACapitalLP | +0.00 | Asks realistic near-term up/down for SOC around legal catalyst; no clear stance. | -39.0% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.