@Alex_Intel_ Alex_Intel_
Obsessive Intel bull with deep fab-process and foundry-economics command
Builds a multi-year structural long thesis on Intel's foundr
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -1.34% mean alpha, trader score -1.21. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.4% since posting (mean over 113 mentions with price data).
This author is overwhelmingly focused on an Intel foundry recovery: 14A/18A process progress, EMIB/glass substrate packaging, Ohio/capex acceleration, and eventual US customer pull-through. The distinctive read is that Intel’s IDM plus US government support can erode TSMC’s advanced packaging monopoly, while Qualcomm and Samsung look strategically weaker. Late in the window, the narrative broadened from process/package comparisons into Intel as a broad transistor company potentially re-entering memory, with a separate bearish ASML transshipment concern.
Conviction is heavily concentrated in Intel, especially the idea that 14A/18A, EMIB, capex acceleration, and US government-backed customer demand can change foundry share dynamics. The author becomes more forceful mid-window with highest-ever Intel roadmap confidence and stock-will-rip language, then broadens the thesis late-week toward memory re-entry and long-term transistor breadth. Pump risk is high because INTC dominates the signal set, while bearish pressure is mostly directed at TSMC, Qualcomm, Samsung, and ASML.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | META | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.10 | Says Meta is testing EMIB and Samsung is helping create EMIB ecosystem. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.15 | Discusses Intel EUV/high-NA tool needs by fab with concrete counts. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.45 | Says CEO delivered on manufacturing yield promises and customer commitments make trade work. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.05 | Says modeling out-years is easier than knowing Intel 2027 operating cash flow. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.00 | States Oregon and Fab 52 are slightly above 30K WSPM now. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.05 | Notes information mentioned only Samsung despite also talking to Intel; says it is early. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.25 | Estimates next year cash from operations in the high teens for Intel context. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.00 | Cites SemiAnalysis on 75K WSPM 18A and $18B tools, questioning capex estimate. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.40 | Calls HSBC report good and views weak consensus as positive, leaning toward $25B. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.00 | Asks about Intel 2027 capex and cites HSBC consensus of $16.5B. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.30 | Says Intel is working on PPA cores comparable to ARM and possible custom data-center CPU. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.00 | Says Lip-Bu is pulling levers on Micron/Hynix and Intel has US government backing. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.35 | Says Lip-Bu is pulling levers on Micron/Hynix and Intel has US government backing. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @Alex_Intel_ | -0.10 | Says talks also involve Intel but Samsung memory supply makes it harder for Lip-Bu. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TSM | @Alex_Intel_ | +0.20 | Discusses TSMC bull case based on monopoly multiple despite Taiwan risk. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.