Author
@AparicioCadiz AparicioCadiz
grade Ax.com/AparicioCadiz ↗
Disciplined value-compounder analyst warning of an AI-capex bubble like 1999
Writes original fundamental theses on quality compounders an
trader score
+0.04
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.02%
signals 14d
68
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.02% mean alpha, trader score +0.04. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.6% since posting (mean over 35 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | AAPL | @AparicioCadiz | +0.20 | Defends the view that lower prices improve buyback economics for Apple and Adobe. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | ADBE | @AparicioCadiz | +0.35 | Defends the view that lower prices improve buyback economics for Apple and Adobe. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @AparicioCadiz | · | Outlines defensive and aggressive asset choices by risk profile. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @AparicioCadiz | · | Explains inflation and currency depreciation as two sides of the same process. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @AparicioCadiz | · | Discusses inflation-linked debt and equities as purchasing-power strategies with risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @AparicioCadiz | · | Author argues bank cash loses 4.3%-7% annually to inflation and safety requires investing elsewhere. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SE | @AparicioCadiz | +0.80 | Buying five more SE shares, making it the portfolio's largest position — Author explicitly buys five SE shares and says it is already the largest position | +0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | ADBE | @AparicioCadiz | -0.40 | Pun suggests ADBE holders or bears have been left stuck, but precise stance is somewhat unclear | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NVDA | @AparicioCadiz | -0.35 | Author says Nvidia would be an exceptional buy absent circular financing and dominance risks. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | META | @AparicioCadiz | -0.40 | Author estimates youth restrictions could cause a material 5-10% impact on Meta. | +0.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | CELH | @AparicioCadiz | +0.10 | Celsius is unusually down, used sarcastically to dismiss technical-analysis certainty. | -6.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @AparicioCadiz | · | Author argues official inflation understates housing costs and could overstate them in a downturn. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | CELH | @AparicioCadiz | +0.85 | Discloses owning CELH and enthusiastically describes its strong appreciation. | -5.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @AparicioCadiz | · | Reports Spanish under-35 homeownership falling from 69% in 2011 to 31% now. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | TSLA | @AparicioCadiz | -0.75 | mockingly claims Chinese robots are vastly more advanced than Tesla's products | -3.9% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.