Author

@BenBajarin BenBajarin

Primary-sourced semiconductor and AI-infrastructure analyst reframing compute-economics consensus

Publishes reasoned, framework-level analysis of the AI compu

trader score
+0.26
hit rate
65%
mean α
+0.12%
signals 14d
73

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +0.12% mean alpha, trader score +0.26. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.1% since posting (mean over 34 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@BenBajarin·Frames full-stack AI deployment around hypercloud, neocloud and multicloud capabilities.·
2026-08-28QCOM@BenBajarin+0.55Agrees QCOM has upside if it executes and calls it a datacenter beneficiary.
2026-08-28NVDA@BenBajarin+0.25Points to computational-workload implications in an NVDA slide but leaves details in media.
2026-08-28·@BenBajarin·Argues computational complexity shows the market is severely short of compute.·
2026-08-27MRVL@BenBajarin+0.50Bullish CXL ecosystem thesis highlights MRVL discussion and a beneficiary map.-10.3%
2026-08-27·@BenBajarin·Hot Chips analysis describes industry alignment on inference but disagreement over system architecture.·
2026-08-27·@BenBajarin·Says AI increasingly delivers acceptable quality and improves multitasking efficiency.·
2026-08-27NVDA@BenBajarin+0.60Estimates semiconductor demand at 115%-120% of capacity and says supply constrains NVDA revenue.-4.6%
2026-08-27·@BenBajarin·Argues agentic AI's computational complexity implies substantial daily compute demand.·
2026-08-26NVDA@BenBajarin+0.35Argues Nvidia would absorb all additional Intel capacity, benefiting both firms.+3.8%
2026-08-26INTC@BenBajarin+0.55Argues Nvidia would absorb all additional Intel capacity, benefiting both firms.+1.4%
2026-08-26NVDA@BenBajarin+0.60Reports Nvidia's 70% FY28 growth projection and says supply constraints limit further growth.+3.8%
2026-08-26INTC@BenBajarin+0.35Reports Nvidia's 70% FY28 growth projection and says supply constraints limit further growth.+1.4%
2026-08-26INTC@BenBajarin+0.50Reiterates a favorable view of Intel's 14A process node.+1.4%
2026-08-25CLS@BenBajarin+0.35Names AVGO and CLS as partners for OpenAI's Jalepeno architecture.-2.7%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.