@bioinvestor24 bioinvestor24
Obsessive obesity/GLP1 and oncology biotech analyst with mechanistic, M&A-driven theses
Posts original, data-grounded fundamental analysis of biotec
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +1.05% mean alpha, trader score +1.35. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +5.5% since posting (mean over 384 mentions with price data).
bioinvestor24 is most concentrated on VKTX as a high-conviction obesity long, while repeatedly arguing LLY remains the benchmark and NVO/PFE/ZEAL are weaker competitors. The distinctive read is an aggressive biotech M&A framework: ERAS/TNGX and owned cancer names should draw bidding interest, while RVMD is expensive and vulnerable to better molecule alternatives. Late-week attention shifted heavily toward ABBV/APGE read-throughs, SYRE/KYMR immunology targets, and ERAS/TNGX versus RVMD oncology deal speculation.
Conviction is concentrated in VKTX obesity, ERAS/TNGX oncology M&A upside, and selected owned cancer names such as MGNX. He explicitly exited or deprioritized RVMD in favor of ERAS despite acknowledging possible large takeout value, while repeatedly flagging RVMD valuation and competitive risk. Late-week posting broadened into immunology M&A after ABBV/APGE, with pump-risk most visible in thin biotech targets like SYRE after a reported 400% move.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | REGN | @bioinvestor24 | +0.10 | Author says ABBV could make over $2B per year for years from the acquisition due to Dupixent LOE timing. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ABBV | @bioinvestor24 | +0.50 | Author says ABBV could make over $2B per year for years from the acquisition due to Dupixent LOE timing. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ABBV | @bioinvestor24 | +0.35 | Author sees ABBV's APGE move as aggressive and potentially better than BMY's cautious approach. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BMY | @bioinvestor24 | -0.20 | Author sees ABBV's APGE move as aggressive and potentially better than BMY's cautious approach. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | APGE | @bioinvestor24 | +0.25 | Author sees ABBV's APGE move as aggressive and potentially better than BMY's cautious approach. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | VKTX | @bioinvestor24 | +0.35 | Author says ABBV likely focuses obesity BD on VKTX, though deal timing is unlikely before full data. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ABBV | @bioinvestor24 | +0.10 | Author says ABBV likely focuses obesity BD on VKTX, though deal timing is unlikely before full data. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | VKTX | @bioinvestor24 | -0.25 | Author insults VKTX CEO, a negative management sentiment with no trade mechanics. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | VKTX | @bioinvestor24 | -0.10 | Author says VKTX CEO's astronomical ask may be pressuring stock but could prove right by next year. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ABBV | @bioinvestor24 | +0.05 | Author discusses ABBV/APGE negotiations including AbbVie starting with a $10B proposal and no other offers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | PFE | @bioinvestor24 | -0.10 | Author discusses ABBV/APGE negotiations including AbbVie starting with a $10B proposal and no other offers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | APGE | @bioinvestor24 | +0.45 | Author discusses ABBV/APGE negotiations including AbbVie starting with a $10B proposal and no other offers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | RHHBY | @bioinvestor24 | -0.10 | Author discusses ABBV/APGE negotiations including AbbVie starting with a $10B proposal and no other offers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | LLY | @bioinvestor24 | +0.45 | Author criticizes sema versus tirzepatide and questions NVO management. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVO | @bioinvestor24 | -0.55 | Author criticizes sema versus tirzepatide and questions NVO management. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.