Author

@BlacklionCTA BlacklionCTA

Plumbing-literate macro/rates trader linking Fed wealth-effect policy to energy and AI risk

Posts dense original macro analysis centered on Fed/Treasury

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
49

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.5% since posting (mean over 2 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28SBUX@BlacklionCTA-0.30Author reports a negative Starbucks customer experience.
2026-08-28·@BlacklionCTA·Daily macro calendar lists Chicago PMI, UMich sentiment, inflation expectations and speakers.·
2026-08-27·@BlacklionCTA·Discloses rolling expired September silver and copper options into December contracts.·
2026-08-27·@BlacklionCTA·Calendar-style macro data summary lists claims, inventories, surveys and Treasury issuance.·
2026-08-26·@BlacklionCTA·Expects little policy news Friday and no pre-midterm policy change from Warsh.·
2026-08-26·@BlacklionCTA·Argues Bessent's international economic plan will fail for lack of allied cooperation.·
2026-08-26·@BlacklionCTA·Reports October WTI trading below $80.·
2026-08-26·@BlacklionCTA·Wednesday macro calendar lists expected PCE, GDP, income, spending, energy inventory and Treasury figures.·
2026-08-25·@BlacklionCTA·Author argues Fed intervention prevents bond yields from imposing fiscal discipline.·
2026-08-25·@BlacklionCTA·Tuesday macro calendar lists rates, data releases and Treasury auctions with estimates.·
2026-08-24·@BlacklionCTA·Author endorses Druckenmiller's criticism but disputes bond yields' fiscal-discipline role.·
2026-08-24·@BlacklionCTA·Dismisses threats to the global financial system as empty rhetoric.·
2026-08-24·@BlacklionCTA·Joke highlights Scott Bessent's perceived desire for renewed Fed quantitative easing.·
2026-08-24·@BlacklionCTA·Author warns that coordinated economic action against Iran is complicated by deteriorating international credibility.·
2026-08-24·@BlacklionCTA·Lists Monday's central-bank speakers, macro releases, bill auctions and agricultural data.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.