Author

@BlacklionCTA BlacklionCTA

Plumbing-literate macro/rates trader linking Fed wealth-effect policy to energy and AI risk

Posts dense original macro analysis centered on Fed/Treasury

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
35

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16·@BlacklionCTA·Interprets a dealer-survey question as the closest signal of reduced coupon issuance.·
2026-10-16·@BlacklionCTA·Expresses doubt about Treasuries.·
2026-10-16·@BlacklionCTA·Says the dealer survey will be watched for evidence of reduced Treasury coupon issuance.·
2026-10-16·@BlacklionCTA·Lists Friday's scheduled macro releases, central-bank speakers and energy reports.·
2026-10-15·@BlacklionCTA·Lists Thursday macro releases including strong PPI, regional surveys and claims.·
2026-10-14·@BlacklionCTA·Argues hot CPI and minor rate moves are insufficient unless the Fed materially tightens conditions.·
2026-10-14·@BlacklionCTA·Calendar lists CPI, central-bank speakers, mortgages and the Beige Book·
2026-10-13·@BlacklionCTA·Argues inflation is regressive and disproportionately benefits wealthy asset owners·
2026-10-13·@BlacklionCTA·Says Fed Governor Waller softened last week's hawkishness and deferred tightening work to markets.·
2026-10-13·@BlacklionCTA·Lists the day's scheduled Fed speakers, macro releases, Treasury bills, and agriculture reports.·
2026-10-12·@BlacklionCTA·Author invokes the bidless September 2008 TARP-vote crash as a stock-vigilante analogy.·
2026-10-09·@BlacklionCTA·The post reports October preliminary consumer sentiment at 47.6 and one-year inflation expectations at 4.7%.·
2026-10-08·@BlacklionCTA·Cites Dallas Fed analysis that refinery outages are lifting fuel prices more than crude costs.·
2026-10-08NQ@BlacklionCTA-0.15Observes that Nasdaq futures failed to follow through despite a bond rally.·
2026-10-08·@BlacklionCTA·States the Daily Den is short and critical of Fed communication.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.