Author
@Bluekurtic Bluekurtic
grade Bx.com/Bluekurtic ↗
Prolific, data-heavy permabull narrating the AI bull market through historical base rates
Posts a continuous stream of chart-backed historical base-ra
trader score
-3.52
hit rate
25%
mean α
-0.67%
signals 14d
102
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -0.67% mean alpha, trader score -3.52. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.9% since posting (mean over 35 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.70 | Historical base rate argues against turning bearish after SPX closes below its 50DMA. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | QQQ | @Bluekurtic | +0.70 | Expects QQQ to pivot higher next week and calls the decline a bear trap. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.60 | Sets the 7,500 zone as SPX's line in the sand and maintains a bear-trap thesis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NDX | @Bluekurtic | +0.70 | All nine prior nine-day weak streaks were followed by NDX gains five days later. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.70 | Breadth surge above +60 historically preceded one-month SPX gains in 11 of 13 cases. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPY | @Bluekurtic | +0.10 | Historical Mag-7 pattern suggests TSLA could gain over 20% in Q4 despite its YTD decline. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Bluekurtic | +0.70 | Historical Mag-7 pattern suggests TSLA could gain over 20% in Q4 despite its YTD decline. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | QQQ | @Bluekurtic | +0.10 | Historical Mag-7 pattern suggests TSLA could gain over 20% in Q4 despite its YTD decline. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SOXX | @Bluekurtic | +0.70 | Notes SOXX rose two days later after every comparable eight-day losing streak. | -7.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.80 | SPX rallied in 18 of 19 midterm years during the specified eight-day election window. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SOXX | @Bluekurtic | +0.70 | SOXX rebounded over the next two days in all six prior eight-day losing streaks. | -7.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.00 | Explains an SPX signal methodology and added filters intended to reduce false positives. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.50 | Says normal 1% declines do not imply the SPX bull market is over. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Bluekurtic | · | Jokingly suggests the selloff should be followed by a bounce. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SPY | @Bluekurtic | +0.60 | Prior 20% KOSPI collapses all rebounded within two weeks, potentially reviving the AI trade. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.