Author
@Bluekurtic Bluekurtic
grade Bx.com/Bluekurtic ↗
Prolific, data-heavy permabull narrating the AI bull market through historical base rates
Posts a continuous stream of chart-backed historical base-ra
trader score
-0.14
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.04%
signals 14d
108
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.04% mean alpha, trader score -0.14. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.2% since posting (mean over 35 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | GOOG | @Bluekurtic | +0.55 | Reports a moving-average crossover with a 93% historical three-day win rate. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.60 | Historical base rate suggests limited correction risk after double-digit YTD gains. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.20 | Compares S&P 500 performance under the new Fed chair with historical paths. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Bluekurtic | · | Clarifies the historical sample period used for Jackson Hole analysis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Bluekurtic | · | Reports anonymous stock's historical positive hit rates after a setup. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Bluekurtic | · | Reports anonymous stock's historical positive hit rates. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @Bluekurtic | · | Reports bullish crossover base rates for an unnamed stock. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.05 | References historical S&P 500 behavior around a Fed chair's first Jackson Hole speech. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | XLE | @Bluekurtic | -0.40 | A bearish XLE MACD crossover is presented as historically constructive for SPX. | +0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.40 | A bearish XLE MACD crossover is presented as historically constructive for SPX. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.40 | Recaps the S&P 500's completed 0.7% gain and credits Nvidia results. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.55 | Rare tech-sector divergence had one prior case followed by a 10% SPX monthly gain. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | VIX | @Bluekurtic | -0.30 | Low VVIX is linked to SPX gains two months later in 9 of 10 comparable cases. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.55 | Low VVIX is linked to SPX gains two months later in 9 of 10 comparable cases. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPX | @Bluekurtic | +0.25 | Historical pattern favors SPX over three months but warns of six-week weakness. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.