Author

@BobEUnlimited BobEUnlimited

Bridgewater-trained global macro PM who quantifies why popular bull narratives are macro-implausible

Publishes original top-down global macro analysis reducing m

trader score
-3.24
hit rate
19%
mean α
-2.07%
signals 14d
54

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 16 scored bets: 19% hit rate, -2.07% mean alpha, trader score -3.24. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.3% since posting (mean over 5 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@BobEUnlimited·Forecasts inflation returning to target in one to two years.·
2026-08-28·@BobEUnlimited·Argues short rates are far too low and criticizes Warsh's response.·
2026-08-28·@BobEUnlimited·Cites historical zero real growth and a roughly 30% stock decline.·
2026-08-28·@BobEUnlimited·Taylor-rule measures imply short rates should be 100–200+ basis points higher.·
2026-08-27RVI@BobEUnlimited-0.70Calls RVI's 1.10% expense ratio an $8M money grab relative to estimated operating costs.·
2026-08-27·@BobEUnlimited·Argues real-economy productivity gains do not justify expected future AI spending.·
2026-08-27·@BobEUnlimited·Highlights households' loss of real purchasing power.·
2026-08-26·@BobEUnlimited·Argues falling household saving supported growth and profits, with initial signs the trend is flattening.·
2026-08-25·@BobEUnlimited·A chart value is clarified as slightly below $3T annualized, with each bar representing a quarter.·
2026-08-25HOOD@BobEUnlimited+0.35High fees and cash drag are criticized, while HOOD is said to profit despite weak investor net returns.-7.0%
2026-08-25·@BobEUnlimited·The author rejects an unstated claim as implausible because it equals 100% of U.S. GDP or 20% of global GDP.·
2026-08-25·@BobEUnlimited·An instrument is described as guaranteeing a 3% real return for 30 years if held to maturity.·
2026-08-24RVII@BobEUnlimited-0.55Author mocks RVII for charging performance fees on unrealized gains.·
2026-08-24·@BobEUnlimited·Listed venture funds are criticized as concentrated in mature private assets with limited remaining value creation.·
2026-08-24·@BobEUnlimited·Author argues cloud-to-cloud AI spending is not final demand and questions the real-economy use of LLM investment.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.