Author
@briangobosox briangobosox
grade Ax.com/briangobosox ↗
Rigorous macro-geopolitics analyst quantifying Hormuz oil logic and Fed-inflation mechanics
Brian McCarthy (Macrolens LLC) writes deep, reasoning-first
trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
28
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +13.9% since posting (mean over 6 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | · | @briangobosox | · | Argues high CPI rallied bonds because inflation pressure will force the Fed to cool the AI-capex boom. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @briangobosox | · | Questions whether efficiency gains will structurally compress data-center-owner margins. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @briangobosox | · | Highlights 14% annualized September restaurant-sales growth and disputes dismissing it over data-source differences. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @briangobosox | · | Warns broad yield increases and widening weak-link credit spreads threaten the AI trade. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | ORCL | @briangobosox | -0.60 | Notes ORCL five-year financing costs rose from 5.5% to 7% in four months and may constrain investment. | -11.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | AVGO | @briangobosox | -0.60 | Warns widening ORCL and AVGO CDS could prevent $200B of financed Nvidia chip demand from materializing. | -10.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | ORCL | @briangobosox | -0.60 | Warns widening ORCL and AVGO CDS could prevent $200B of financed Nvidia chip demand from materializing. | -11.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | NVDA | @briangobosox | -0.40 | Warns widening ORCL and AVGO CDS could prevent $200B of financed Nvidia chip demand from materializing. | -7.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @briangobosox | · | Argues a forecast has the sign wrong because IPO supply rises in risk-on markets and fails in risk-off regimes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | ORCL | @briangobosox | -0.50 | Argues tightening financial conditions are spreading inward from weaker AI infrastructure firms. | -11.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | CRWV | @briangobosox | -0.70 | Argues tightening financial conditions are spreading inward from weaker AI infrastructure firms. | -30.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @briangobosox | · | Discusses a Treasury adviser advocating gold-backed Treasury bonds. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | · | @briangobosox | · | Argues society has become heavily exposed to frontier AI labs and demands financial transparency. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | · | @briangobosox | · | Says incoherent reasons for hiking make the forward policy path more uncertain than communicated. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | · | @briangobosox | · | Argues AI capex-driven demand will force blunt Fed tightening and eventually end fine-tuning. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.