Author
@Callum_Thomas Callum_Thomas
grade Ax.com/Callum_Thomas ↗
Chart-driven global macro analyst calling late-cycle regimes with disciplined two-sided framing
Publishes original cross-asset and positioning charts (the C
trader score
-0.08
hit rate
25%
mean α
-0.02%
signals 14d
29
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 8 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -0.02% mean alpha, trader score -0.08. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.0% since posting (mean over 7 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Warns that high valuations and allocations will hurt if the earnings cycle turns. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Characterizes current conditions as a powder keg, implying elevated market risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Says inflation expectations are anchoring higher and predicts additional Fed rate hikes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Central-bank tightening is framed as a 2027 global-growth headwind after 2026 easing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Persistent long-term inflation is expected to keep bond yields from falling absent a deflation shock. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | LatAm equities are framed as deeply undervalued with further upside despite a recent rally. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | RSP | @Callum_Thomas | +0.25 | Combines bullish seasonality with semiconductor valuation weakness and 2027 macro headwinds. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | SPY | @Callum_Thomas | +0.20 | Combines bullish seasonality with semiconductor valuation weakness and 2027 macro headwinds. | -2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | SMH | @Callum_Thomas | -0.35 | Combines bullish seasonality with semiconductor valuation weakness and 2027 macro headwinds. | -12.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | SPX | @Callum_Thomas | +0.00 | Promotes a weekly S&P 500 chart review spanning technicals, cycles, valuations and macro conditions. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-10 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Frames equities as a raging bull market and bonds as a bear market amid historic relative outperformance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Argues a cited chart explains why the Federal Reserve must raise rates. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Predicts further Fed hikes will collide with extreme positioning and valuations, causing a major reset. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Presents magazine covers and question headlines as contrarian indicators, without identifying the underlying market. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Frames Treasuries as a deeply contrarian opportunity based on bearish sentiment, shorts, low allocations and cheap valuation. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.