Author
@Callum_Thomas Callum_Thomas
grade Ax.com/Callum_Thomas ↗
Chart-driven global macro analyst calling late-cycle regimes with disciplined two-sided framing
Publishes original cross-asset and positioning charts (the C
trader score
+0.87
hit rate
25%
mean α
+0.15%
signals 14d
17
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 8 scored bets: 25% hit rate, +0.15% mean alpha, trader score +0.87. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.0% since posting (mean over 2 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Stocks' rolling 10-year return advantage over bonds reached 15%, highest since 1960. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Advocates seeking forgotten, written-off assets when investors crowd into one exciting theme. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | The tweet juxtaposes a global policy pivot with the global economy but provides no explicit conclusion. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | SPX | @Callum_Thomas | +0.00 | Tweet links a weekly S&P 500 chart collection without providing a standalone conclusion. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | A chart compares U.S. PE10 valuation with the highest and median global PE10 over time. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | SPX | @Callum_Thomas | +0.55 | Global equity bull market remains intact, while stalled tech and low volatility create rising risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | SPY | @Callum_Thomas | +0.55 | Global equity bull market remains intact, while stalled tech and low volatility create rising risk. | +0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-23 | VIX | @Callum_Thomas | +0.40 | Global equity bull market remains intact, while stalled tech and low volatility create rising risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-22 | SPX | @Callum_Thomas | +0.00 | Weekly S&P 500 chart package covers earnings, sentiment, positioning, valuation and volatility. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Assesses developed-market ten-year government yields as approximately fairly valued. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Develops a long-term framework connecting valuations, rates, allocation cycles and mean reversion. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | Notes turbulence near resistance, but the underlying asset is missing from the reply. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-18 | · | @Callum_Thomas | · | U.S., South Korean and Taiwanese PE10 ratios are compared with historical extremes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 | SPX | @Callum_Thomas | +0.60 | Strong breadth, revisions and macro support a bullish regime, tempered by seasonality and rising rates. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 | VIX | @Callum_Thomas | -0.20 | Strong breadth, revisions and macro support a bullish regime, tempered by seasonality and rising rates. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.