@carbonreports carbonreports
High-volume energy-commodity newsflow synthesizer with a homegrown options-vol model
Aggregates and frames near-real-time global energy and commo
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, +0.24% mean alpha, trader score +0.65. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.0% since posting (mean over 150 mentions with price data).
carbonreports is mainly reposting and framing macro commodity moves, with the clearest ticker-level concentration in NG and CL rather than single-stock calls. The distinctive read is a two-sided gas tape: LNG/feedgas, heat, and lighter storage support NG, while Permian supply, softer demand, and regional gluts cap upside. Oil coverage was mostly bearish on US-Iran/Hormuz normalization, but late-week CL posts reintroduced supply-risk upside as Iran talks and tanker traffic concerns resurfaced.
Conviction is concentrated in commodity macro rather than explicit trades, with NG receiving the heaviest ticker-level attention and mixed read-throughs from storage, LNG flows, weather, and Permian supply. Oil coverage began with bearish US-Iran/Hormuz normalization and war-premium unwind, then partially flipped late week as CL supply-risk headlines returned. There were no CALL_DIRECTIONAL trades or position disclosures in the payload.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | SPX | @carbonreports | +0.25 | Weak jobs data cuts Fed-hike bets, supporting gold rebound and risk assets. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | SPY | @carbonreports | +0.25 | Weak jobs data cuts Fed-hike bets, supporting gold rebound and risk assets. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | CL | @carbonreports | +0.00 | Quotes analyst saying oil remains in a divided market. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | SPX | @carbonreports | +0.25 | Weak payrolls dent rate-hike bets, framing a bigger recovery setup. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | SPY | @carbonreports | +0.25 | Weak payrolls dent rate-hike bets, framing a bigger recovery setup. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | SPX | @carbonreports | +0.00 | Gold and silver are said to be approaching chart resistance; SPY/SPX appear as market tags. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | SPY | @carbonreports | +0.00 | Gold and silver are said to be approaching chart resistance; SPY/SPX appear as market tags. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NG | @carbonreports | -0.35 | Natural gas cash prices retreated on moderating temperature and elevated supply focus. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @carbonreports | · | Oil risk premium unwinding into supply glut is bearish for crude. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CL | @carbonreports | -0.35 | Oil near prewar lows as rising Hormuz exports reinforce supply surplus concerns. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CL | @carbonreports | -0.25 | Saudi crude exports have surged to roughly pre-war levels. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @carbonreports | · | Williams Transco outage to trim roughly 0.5 Bcf/d deliverability into Southeast. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NG | @carbonreports | +0.45 | Report says demand growth and higher-cost supply could push Henry Hub higher over next decade. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @carbonreports | · | Gold $4,000 defense tests whether correction has exhausted. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @carbonreports | · | XRG acquired additional equity stake in NextDecade's Rio Grande LNG expansion. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.