Author
@chenreason chenreason
grade Bx.com/chenreason ↗
Bilingual analyst chaining AI-compute and fintech mechanics to second-order macro consequences
Writes reasoning-heavy framework posts and market recaps tha
trader score
+0.90
hit rate
55%
mean α
+0.60%
signals 14d
24
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, +0.60% mean alpha, trader score +0.90. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.2% since posting (mean over 14 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | NVDA | @chenreason | -0.25 | Describes GLM-5.3-Flash running on Chinese chips and links the reveal to NVDA turning negative. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NVDA | @chenreason | +0.20 | Explains how model competition may benefit cloud and accelerator providers. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | AAPL | @chenreason | +0.25 | Explains how model competition may benefit cloud and accelerator providers. | +2.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | AMZN | @chenreason | +0.55 | Explains how model competition may benefit cloud and accelerator providers. | +2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | AMD | @chenreason | +0.35 | Explains how model competition may benefit cloud and accelerator providers. | -3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | AAPL | @chenreason | +0.20 | Uses a MacBook's resale value to praise Apple product value retention. | +3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-24 | · | @chenreason | · | Reports weakness in Chinese growth sectors and a rotation into banks after the first NIM rise in years. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | MSFT | @chenreason | -0.20 | Argues AI infrastructure borrowing crowds out Treasury demand and raises the tech sector's own discount rate. | +6.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | META | @chenreason | -0.20 | Argues AI infrastructure borrowing crowds out Treasury demand and raises the tech sector's own discount rate. | +5.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | ORCL | @chenreason | -0.20 | Argues AI infrastructure borrowing crowds out Treasury demand and raises the tech sector's own discount rate. | +3.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | AMZN | @chenreason | -0.20 | Argues AI infrastructure borrowing crowds out Treasury demand and raises the tech sector's own discount rate. | +3.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-21 | GOOGL | @chenreason | -0.20 | Argues AI infrastructure borrowing crowds out Treasury demand and raises the tech sector's own discount rate. | +0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-20 | IBIT | @chenreason | +0.45 | Details three days of Bitcoin and Ether ETF inflows, including a large IBIT contribution. | +6.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @chenreason | · | Details Shanghai housing measures offering mortgage-linked subsidies for outer-ring home upgrades. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-19 | · | @chenreason | · | Reports a possible KRW100T Samsung shareholder-return plan pending an August board decision. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.