Author
@chenreason chenreason
grade Bx.com/chenreason ↗
Bilingual analyst chaining AI-compute and fintech mechanics to second-order macro consequences
Writes reasoning-heavy framework posts and market recaps tha
trader score
+0.09
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.11%
signals 14d
21
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 10 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.11% mean alpha, trader score +0.09. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.6% since posting (mean over 14 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @chenreason | · | Bloomberg-based account describes speculative excess and talent migration in Taiwan's AI-driven market. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @chenreason | · | A-share risk appetite is weakening as capital rotates from expensive technology into banks and new themes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AMD | @chenreason | +0.20 | TSM results validate real AI demand, though huge capex and expectations create longer-term valuation risk. | -8.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | META | @chenreason | +0.10 | TSM results validate real AI demand, though huge capex and expectations create longer-term valuation risk. | -12.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AMZN | @chenreason | +0.10 | TSM results validate real AI demand, though huge capex and expectations create longer-term valuation risk. | -2.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | GOOGL | @chenreason | +0.10 | TSM results validate real AI demand, though huge capex and expectations create longer-term valuation risk. | -8.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | TSM | @chenreason | +0.35 | TSM results validate real AI demand, though huge capex and expectations create longer-term valuation risk. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @chenreason | +0.25 | TSM results validate real AI demand, though huge capex and expectations create longer-term valuation risk. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SKHY | @chenreason | -0.55 | Hot US CPI triggered a Korean trading halt and double-digit chip-stock losses despite strong earnings. | -6.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | TSM | @chenreason | +0.60 | Hot US CPI triggered a Korean trading halt and double-digit chip-stock losses despite strong earnings. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @chenreason | · | Analyzes Beige Book evidence of stagflationary pressure, unequal consumption and AI financing risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | ASML | @chenreason | +0.70 | Links hot CPI and higher rate odds to CRWV stress while highlighting strong ASML demand. | -4.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @chenreason | -0.75 | Links hot CPI and higher rate odds to CRWV stress while highlighting strong ASML demand. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | GS | @chenreason | -0.25 | The author sees weak breadth and argues AI assistants could pressure banks' deposit economics despite strong earnings. | -1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | JPM | @chenreason | -0.35 | The author sees weak breadth and argues AI assistants could pressure banks' deposit economics despite strong earnings. | +0.0% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.