@conorsen conorsen
Named macro economist threading housing, labor, and the AI-capex wealth cycle into one framework.
Writes original macro and thematic commentary tying US housi
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -0.71% mean alpha, trader score -2.01. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.9% since posting (mean over 4 mentions with price data).
This author is mostly trading macro interpretation, not single-name equities: Fed communication, Warsh uncertainty, rate-hike odds, and broader post-COVID/cyclical narratives dominate the window. The only ticker-specific view is constructive on NFLX, tied to projected free cash flow making buybacks or M&A plausible. No position disclosures, directional calls, or news breaks appeared in the supplied signals.
The week is dominated by macro process concerns rather than trades: Fed communication, Warsh uncertainty, and July hike pricing are the clearest concentration. There are no adds, trims, exits, or explicit flips in the supplied signals, and only one ticker-specific view appears: constructive NFLX free-cash-flow optionality. The Fed-policy theme appears late-week and repeated, while the NFLX read is isolated rather than a broader single-name campaign.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @conorsen | · | Mentions data center wars and electricity rate inflation in Georgia. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @conorsen | · | Notes Olympics bump in Atlanta July 1996 jobs report ahead of new jobs data. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @conorsen | · | Speculates falling gas prices and a pickup in the economy may be influencing polling. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @conorsen | · | Housing inventory comment implies persistent regional supply tightness, but no ticker or trade. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @conorsen | · | Says valuations look attractive versus the past decade after excluding 2021 extremes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @conorsen | · | References San Francisco apartment vacancy rate chart without explicit value. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @conorsen | · | Frames AI buildout as potentially requiring higher mortgage rates. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | · | @conorsen | · | Describes feedback loop between hyperscalers, memory spend, and investor expectations. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | · | @conorsen | · | Frames AI as disrupting historical macro cycle patterns, with housing caveat. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @conorsen | · | Says Big Tech is price-taking today, a negative sector observation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | MU | @conorsen | +0.45 | States Micron is projected to have roughly Apple's 2027 free cash flow. | -19.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | AAPL | @conorsen | +0.00 | States Micron is projected to have roughly Apple's 2027 free cash flow. | +12.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @conorsen | · | Argues hyperscaler equity raises for negative-ROI spending are unsustainable. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | META | @conorsen | +0.00 | Frames Micron market cap passing Meta as a notable bullish moment for MU. | +7.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | MU | @conorsen | +0.45 | Frames Micron market cap passing Meta as a notable bullish moment for MU. | -19.6% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.