Author

@Corsica267 Corsica267

Anonymous macro-plumbing trader chaining rates, dollar liquidity and Treasury supply into regime calls

Posts dense, mostly conversational macro frameworks on rates

trader score
-1.59
hit rate
33%
mean α
-0.64%
signals 14d
17

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 15 scored bets: 33% hit rate, -0.64% mean alpha, trader score -1.59. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.3% since posting (mean over 4 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@Corsica267·Explains why either a Fed hike or no hike creates bearish macro consequences, ending with recession as resolution.·
2026-08-28·@Corsica267·Notes a dollar rebound and argues global rate expectations constrain U.S. policy.·
2026-08-28·@Corsica267·Argues one hike is mathematically optimal but lacks real basis and must be viewed globally.·
2026-08-25·@Corsica267·Characterizes markets as policy-driven and testing both Treasury and Federal Reserve reactions.·
2026-08-25·@Corsica267·Frames policy as caught between forcing rate cuts and inducing recession or stagflation.·
2026-08-25·@Corsica267·Says conditions are forcing interest-rate cuts.·
2026-08-25·@Corsica267·Questions a sell-side consensus calling for September growth after July recession and August stagflation.·
2026-08-25NQ@Corsica267+0.50Expresses amazement that Nasdaq futures are surging despite recession conditions.·
2026-08-24GDX@Corsica267-0.35Author says all GDX calls were exited Friday and expects an initial gold decline, warning of a trap.-3.8%
2026-08-22·@Corsica267·Says bonds are no longer the focus and the key question is whether the dollar weakens.·
2026-08-22QQQ@Corsica267-0.35Develops a rates framework in which expensive capital compresses equity valuations despite productive investment.+0.4%
2026-08-21·@Corsica267·Distinguishes savings flows, productive AI investment, Treasury asset demand, and duration absorption.·
2026-08-20SPX@Corsica267-0.20Analyzes real yields, positioning, liquidity and credit conditions under alternative market regimes.·
2026-08-20QQQ@Corsica267-0.25Analyzes real yields, positioning, liquidity and credit conditions under alternative market regimes.+0.8%
2026-08-20GLD@Corsica267+0.05Analyzes real yields, positioning, liquidity and credit conditions under alternative market regimes.-1.5%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.