Author

@Corsica267 Corsica267

Anonymous macro-plumbing trader chaining rates, dollar liquidity and Treasury supply into regime calls

Posts dense, mostly conversational macro frameworks on rates

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
11

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.9% since posting (mean over 2 mentions with price data).

Recent signals11receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15·@Corsica267·Reports that slower money-fund cash flows are pressuring short-term Treasuries.·
2026-10-14·@Corsica267·Outlines a multi-year rates, bonds, FX, commodities, liquidity, and equity-index framework.·
2026-10-14·@Corsica267·References quarterly total assets and 0.55% remaining capacity, but the subject is unavailable.·
2026-10-13·@Corsica267·Describes a feedback loop between volatility, margin needs and dealer balance-sheet constraints.·
2026-10-13GS@Corsica267-0.10Bank earnings are used to argue that peak balance-sheet expansion has likely passed.-1.8%
2026-10-13JPM@Corsica267-0.10Bank earnings are used to argue that peak balance-sheet expansion has likely passed.+0.0%
2026-10-13·@Corsica267·Explains how mortgage hedging can amplify Treasury selling after credit contraction.·
2026-10-12·@Corsica267·Links higher-quality short-term collateral to cash pricing and sudden liquidity shocks.·
2026-10-08·@Corsica267·Says hedges protected the portfolio during a day away, without naming instruments.·
2026-10-06·@Corsica267·Reports that crude oil and rates are falling during overnight futures trading.·
2026-10-05·@Corsica267·Describes a cross-Atlantic rotation between gold, short bonds, equities and commodities.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.