Author
@DarioCpx DarioCpx
grade Ax.com/DarioCpx ↗
High-conviction macro trader betting on an oil supply-shock cascade into JPY and AI bubble
Builds an original, quantified cross-asset macro thesis cent
trader score
+0.06
hit rate
65%
mean α
+0.08%
signals 14d
155
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +0.08% mean alpha, trader score +0.06. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +13.3% since posting (mean over 18 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | VIX | @DarioCpx | +0.75 | Warns of a material chance that volatility surges before the market closes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SPX | @DarioCpx | -0.65 | Notes the S&P 500 is 2.5% below its high while warning of a much larger collapse. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Claims Jane Street lost $15 billion in a forced asset sale and poses systemic leverage risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | VIX | @DarioCpx | +0.50 | Says stocks may crash into the close unless volatility falls during the next two hours. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Warns that an OpEx-day disruption could make the final 2.5 trading hours highly volatile. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Speculates that the United States may attack Iran after the market closes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Challenges an SPR-release headline because no matching DOE announcement or prior-operation result exists. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @DarioCpx | -0.65 | Mocks CoreWeave's reassurance as having failed within one trading session. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SKHY | @DarioCpx | -0.65 | Calculates an approximately 53% ADR premium and argues US AI investors are overpaying. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Warns that the KOSPI is likely to have a brutal following week. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | XLE | @DarioCpx | -0.35 | Attributes oil-stock weakness to the declining long end of the crude futures curve. | +4.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Argues real-estate developers are sustaining nominal prices despite collapsing housing demand. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Uses a historical chart to highlight sugar's response during a prior energy-supply crisis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CRWV | @DarioCpx | -0.75 | Contrasts falling CoreWeave bonds and rising CDS with a stock rally, warning equity holders about debt priority. | -22.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CRWV | @DarioCpx | -0.50 | Skeptically questions how long Jensen Huang's reassurance-driven CoreWeave rally will last. | -22.2% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.