Author
@DarioCpx DarioCpx
grade Ax.com/DarioCpx ↗
High-conviction macro trader betting on an oil supply-shock cascade into JPY and AI bubble
Builds an original, quantified cross-asset macro thesis cent
trader score
+0.30
hit rate
50%
mean α
+0.25%
signals 14d
125
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.25% mean alpha, trader score +0.30. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +1.7% since posting (mean over 15 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Argues Venezuelan oil shipments cannot increase meaningfully for years due to infrastructure constraints. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Develops a geopolitical oil-crisis thesis involving Gulf incentives, Iran, Hormuz, and U.S. military risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Expects crude prices to rise next week based on diesel pricing and Brent settlement timing. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Predicts a second U.S.-Iran military confrontation before the midterm elections. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Predicts markets will eventually view Warsh as a placeholder rather than the true Fed decision-maker. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Skeptically expects the Fed chair's Jackson Hole speech to contain nothing relevant. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Claims actors are artificially suppressing crude prices using a failed narrative. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @DarioCpx | -0.15 | Raises a rhetorical concern about possible FTC attention toward Nvidia. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Implies U.S.-Iran/Oman developments are leading toward geopolitical escalation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Warns U.S. refiners and fuel retailers may face shortages soon. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Observes a large gamma squeeze but provides no identifiable instrument. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Doubts Bessent will execute threatened actions against financial institutions. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @DarioCpx | +0.25 | Promotes a podcast claiming Nvidia revealed the secret behind its rise. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Calls diesel one of the most bullish setups seen and expects an explosive breakout. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @DarioCpx | · | Forecasts an oil spike followed by a liquidity-driven dip in gold and silver. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.