Author

@darioperkins darioperkins

Institutional macro strategist dissecting central-bank plumbing, regime shifts, and AI-bubble skepticism

Writes original top-down macro analysis on monetary policy,

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
11

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals11receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@darioperkins·Views downplaying recent inflation improvement as a significantly hawkish signal.·
2026-08-28·@darioperkins·Interprets Warsh's remarks as effectively signaling a September rate hike.·
2026-08-27·@darioperkins·Calls Goldman's research on Fed communication interesting without stating its conclusion.·
2026-08-24·@darioperkins·Criticizes policymakers for distorting bond-yield market signals while invoking free-market pricing.·
2026-08-24·@darioperkins·Rejects the idea that changing Treasury issuance maturities will keep yields lower.·
2026-08-22·@darioperkins·Sarcastically rejects the claim that AI is deflationary.·
2026-08-20·@darioperkins·Argues QE mattered chiefly through its low-rate policy signal, which Treasury maturity changes cannot reproduce.·
2026-08-20·@darioperkins·Says the missing rate signal was the only economically important element of QE.·
2026-08-20·@darioperkins·Characterizes the discussed Treasury transaction as economically equivalent to QE and QE itself as unremarkable.·
2026-08-19·@darioperkins·Calls short-end financing poor debt management if rates are truly headed higher.·
2026-08-19·@darioperkins·Criticizes market-oriented policymakers for repeatedly intervening in markets.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.