Author

@darioperkins darioperkins

Institutional macro strategist dissecting central-bank plumbing, regime shifts, and AI-bubble skepticism

Writes original top-down macro analysis on monetary policy,

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
29

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15·@darioperkins·Signals concern about a possible AI capital-expenditure crash while noting research in progress.·
2026-10-15·@darioperkins·Argues monetary-policy restrictiveness varies by sector and economy, with post-dot-com parallels.·
2026-10-15·@darioperkins·Argues an AI crash could release resources to non-tech demand and underpin an eventual recovery.·
2026-10-15·@darioperkins·Rejects the thesis that rate hikes do not affect economic or market outcomes.·
2026-10-15·@darioperkins·Says an AI-boom reversal would materially shift the 2027 outlook, though calling its end is premature.·
2026-10-15·@darioperkins·Sarcastically questions an unnamed AI company's lack of financial disclosure.·
2026-10-15·@darioperkins·Warns that AI-capex cuts would expose questions over $2.5 trillion of spending.·
2026-10-15·@darioperkins·Rejects Goldman's claim that slower AI capital spending would be bullish for stocks.·
2026-10-14·@darioperkins·Pencils an unspecified event in for early 2028, but parent context is absent·
2026-10-14·@darioperkins·Mocks a speaker's current stance by citing their prior support for quantitative tightening·
2026-10-14·@darioperkins·Expresses skepticism about AI while acknowledging a useful bull-case presentation·
2026-10-14·@darioperkins·Mocks the claim that national house prices never decline·
2026-10-14·@darioperkins·Expects bailouts after a crash but says substantial wealth destruction would still occur·
2026-10-14·@darioperkins·Argues ordinary consumers lack willingness to pay for unspecified technology products·
2026-10-14·@darioperkins·Suggests the described scenario may be a post-crash environment·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.