Author

@dnystedt dnystedt

Taiwan-based journalist relaying the AI semiconductor supply chain in granular, attributed detail

Reports and synthesizes news, data, and channel signals acro

trader score
-1.64
hit rate
35%
mean α
-0.66%
signals 14d
35

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -0.66% mean alpha, trader score -1.64. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -10.0% since posting (mean over 27 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-15MU@dnystedt-0.30Reports a possible Micron Taiwan strike threatening memory-chip supply amid a shortage.-5.8%
2026-10-12·@dnystedt·Wistron's board approved major AI-server capacity projects and a factory purchase in Taiwan.·
2026-10-12·@dnystedt·Reports sharp Q3 revenue, margin, profit and EPS growth at Nanya amid a severe DRAM shortage.·
2026-10-12TSM@dnystedt+0.20Reports Maia production timing, TSMC's 2nm manufacturing role and Microsoft's multi-gigawatt deployment plan.-5.8%
2026-10-12MSFT@dnystedt+0.25Reports Maia production timing, TSMC's 2nm manufacturing role and Microsoft's multi-gigawatt deployment plan.-3.1%
2026-10-11·@dnystedt·Taiwan and Slovakia signed a semiconductor technology-transfer and industry-development agreement.·
2026-10-11TSM@dnystedt+0.15Formosa Plastics is considering a major Texas chemical expansion to supply TSMC and other clients.-7.7%
2026-10-11TER@dnystedt+0.25Testing prices are reportedly set to rise 10%-30%, benefiting named semiconductor-test suppliers.-23.3%
2026-10-11ASX@dnystedt+0.35Testing prices are reportedly set to rise 10%-30%, benefiting named semiconductor-test suppliers.-16.7%
2026-10-11AMKR@dnystedt+0.35Testing prices are reportedly set to rise 10%-30%, benefiting named semiconductor-test suppliers.-20.0%
2026-10-11FORM@dnystedt+0.25Testing prices are reportedly set to rise 10%-30%, benefiting named semiconductor-test suppliers.-29.5%
2026-10-11COHU@dnystedt+0.25Testing prices are reportedly set to rise 10%-30%, benefiting named semiconductor-test suppliers.-29.7%
2026-10-09·@dnystedt·Reports major capex increases by Taiwan power-supply firms in response to AI server demand.·
2026-10-09·@dnystedt·Reports Lite-On's $350 million Texas plant contract and a large increase in 2026 capex.·
2026-10-09AMD@dnystedt+0.25Reports AI-server production tied to Nvidia and AMD fueling record Wistron revenue growth.-15.0%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.