@edge_of_power edge_of_power
AI-datacenter/neocloud thesis builder mapping the NVDA supply-chain ecosystem in depth
Writes long-form, multi-factor fundamental theses on the AI-
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, -0.29% mean alpha, trader score -0.21. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.1% since posting (mean over 191 mentions with price data).
edge_of_power is concentrated in AI infrastructure, especially NBIS, AAOI, ORCL, CIFR, and selected Samsung exposure, while turning sharply colder on IREN and CRWV. Their distinctive read is that real bottlenecks are grid access, compute capacity, optical capacity, and memory pricing, not generic AI software multiples. Late week shows a clear IREN de-risking arc: disclosed ownership, then sold half or trimmed, followed by repeated skepticism on deal flow, pricing, and sector capex exhaustion.
The week starts broad bullish on HOOD, NVDA-linked AI infrastructure, CIFR, IREN, and AAOI, but late-week conviction concentrates into NBIS, AAOI, ORCL, CIFR, and Samsung-linked exposure. IREN clearly fades: the author disclosed ownership, sold half or trimmed, then criticized deal absence, pricing, shills, and capex exhaustion. CRWV stays bearish throughout, while macro risk flips back negative into the weekend on Iran, Hormuz, and Israel escalation risk.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | AMD | @edge_of_power | -0.15 | Argues market rally needs breadth beyond semis and questions cash burn to feed AI suppliers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | CRDO | @edge_of_power | +0.15 | Argues market rally needs breadth beyond semis and questions cash burn to feed AI suppliers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | NVDA | @edge_of_power | +0.15 | Argues market rally needs breadth beyond semis and questions cash burn to feed AI suppliers. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | TSM | @edge_of_power | -0.25 | Thesis that Samsung wins Meta/Anthropic AI chip supply as big tech reduces Nvidia/Google dependence. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | META | @edge_of_power | +0.35 | Thesis that Samsung wins Meta/Anthropic AI chip supply as big tech reduces Nvidia/Google dependence. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | NVDA | @edge_of_power | -0.20 | Thesis that Samsung wins Meta/Anthropic AI chip supply as big tech reduces Nvidia/Google dependence. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @edge_of_power | -0.15 | Author says they bought more MRVL and OUST, with comments on MSFT and Meta price action. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MRVL | @edge_of_power | +0.50 | Author says they bought more MRVL and OUST, with comments on MSFT and Meta price action. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | OUST | @edge_of_power | +0.50 | Author says they bought more MRVL and OUST, with comments on MSFT and Meta price action. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MSFT | @edge_of_power | +0.20 | Author says they bought more MRVL and OUST, with comments on MSFT and Meta price action. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @edge_of_power | · | Bullish narrative on LG Energy after supply contracts for humanoid robotics names. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @edge_of_power | +0.45 | Positive view on new hires ruling IREN, despite CEO criticism. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MRVL | @edge_of_power | +0.65 | Bought more MRVL below cost basis — Author says they bought more MRVL. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CIFR | @edge_of_power | +0.55 | Says SB invested 50M in CIFR, CIFR is a partner and has a lot to sell. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CIFR | @edge_of_power | +0.55 | AI/data-center and software rotation thesis; constructive on CIFR, NVDA partners, IREN hires. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.