@EquityClock EquityClock
Seasonality and intermarket quant publisher timing sector rotations with historical base rates
Publishes data-driven seasonal-rotation and intermarket anal
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, +0.11% mean alpha, trader score +0.41. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.4% since posting (mean over 26 mentions with price data).
EquityClock is running a macro and seasonality-heavy book of observations: cautious on broad equities into summer, constructive on oil ahead of driving season, and selectively positive on software/AMZN technical rebounds. The distinctive read is less single-name alpha and more base-rate/seasonal framing: weak consumer and housing prints, Fed and yield risks, and signs of upside exhaustion in tech. Late-week tone shifted more defensive on SPX/SPY/QQQ while oil and gold were framed as near the end of digestion or downside pressure.
Conviction faded on broad equities late in the window, with the weekend wrap moving SPX/SPY/QQQ into exhaustion and downside-risk framing. Oil conviction was more consistent and constructive, shifting from acknowledged near-term weakness to downside-exhaustion language ahead of peak driving season. There are no disclosed adds, trims, exits, or explicit position flips in the supplied signals.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @EquityClock | · | Describes bifurcated economy: manufacturing employment strong, consumer-linked finance/insurance weak. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MACRO | @EquityClock | -0.20 | June nonfarm payroll increase was weak versus historical non-recessionary seasonal average. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | STUDY | @EquityClock | +0.00 | June nonfarm payroll increase was weak versus historical non-recessionary seasonal average. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | USO | @EquityClock | +0.25 | Gasoline inventories lowest for end-June since 2014 and down 8.7% YTD. | +0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | XLE | @EquityClock | +0.20 | Gasoline inventories lowest for end-June since 2014 and down 8.7% YTD. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | CRAK | @EquityClock | +0.25 | Gasoline inventories lowest for end-June since 2014 and down 8.7% YTD. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | APP | @EquityClock | +0.25 | Software ETF bounce from 20-week MA has multi-month bullish implications. | -6.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | IGV | @EquityClock | +0.45 | Software ETF bounce from 20-week MA has multi-month bullish implications. | +0.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MSFT | @EquityClock | +0.25 | Software ETF bounce from 20-week MA has multi-month bullish implications. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MPC | @EquityClock | +0.45 | Refining stocks show ideal setup as CRAK bounces from multi-month trendline support. | +0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | VLO | @EquityClock | +0.45 | Refining stocks show ideal setup as CRAK bounces from multi-month trendline support. | -0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | CRAK | @EquityClock | +0.60 | Refining stocks show ideal setup as CRAK bounces from multi-month trendline support. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPY | @EquityClock | +0.15 | S&P 500 July average gain is 1.2%, with gains in 56% of past 50 years. | -0.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPX | @EquityClock | +0.15 | S&P 500 July average gain is 1.2%, with gains in 56% of past 50 years. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SPY | @EquityClock | +0.45 | Summer rally return already at 133% of expected two days into positive timeframe. | -0.3% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.