@hamids hamids
Transparent, concentrated long-only tech investor anchored on a Micron memory-cycle thesis
Posts bottom-up valuation theses and real-time position upda
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 80% hit rate, +1.63% mean alpha, trader score +1.86. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.4% since posting (mean over 63 mentions with price data).
Hamids is most explicitly long META and MU, calling META their second-largest position after MU while describing MU as severely undervalued and by far their largest holding. The distinctive read is a skeptical governance and valuation framework around Tesla and SpaceX, including merger/control mechanics, Musk compensation, taxes, and SpaceX scale limits versus hyperscaler AI capex. No clear late-week position flip appears, but the window ends with renewed skepticism on SpaceX scale and funding needs.
Conviction is concentrated in long META and MU, with META newly emphasized as the second-largest position after MU. The author stays bearish or skeptical on Tesla-SpaceX governance, Musk compensation, merger/control mechanics, and SpaceX scale claims. Concentration risk is highest in the Tesla-SpaceX discussion and META advocacy, while no explicit trim, exit, or position flip is present in the supplied signals.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | META | @hamids | +0.25 | Author mocks Wells Fargo analyst Ken Gawrelski adjusting META price target from $765 to $767. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TSLA | @hamids | +0.30 | Author says TSLA deliveries crushed it and rising deliveries could refocus valuation on car business. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | HOOD | @hamids | +0.25 | Might trim HOOD a bit if it keeps running. — Author still likes HOOD long term but may trim if the stock keeps running. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | RIVN | @hamids | +0.85 | Author lays out a detailed bullish Rivian thesis after Q2 deliveries beat and guidance was raised. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TSLA | @hamids | +0.00 | Author lays out a detailed bullish Rivian thesis after Q2 deliveries beat and guidance was raised. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | RIVN | @hamids | +0.55 | Author says all three US EV companies had YoY delivery increases and RIVN Q3 could be up 100%. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | LCID | @hamids | +0.35 | Author says all three US EV companies had YoY delivery increases and RIVN Q3 could be up 100%. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TSLA | @hamids | +0.45 | Author says all three US EV companies had YoY delivery increases and RIVN Q3 could be up 100%. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | RIVN | @hamids | +0.85 | Author says RIVN's R2 moment has arrived with huge demand and faster production ramp. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MU | @hamids | +0.45 | Podcast title references MU $1,800 target, AAPL price increases and RKLB acquiring IRDM. | -5.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | AAPL | @hamids | +0.00 | Podcast title references MU $1,800 target, AAPL price increases and RKLB acquiring IRDM. | +4.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | RKLB | @hamids | +0.25 | Podcast title references MU $1,800 target, AAPL price increases and RKLB acquiring IRDM. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | IRDM | @hamids | +0.25 | Podcast title references MU $1,800 target, AAPL price increases and RKLB acquiring IRDM. | -3.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | MU | @hamids | +0.20 | Author says he picks the US-based stock when comparing similar risk profiles, referring to MU. | -5.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | PLTR | @hamids | -0.65 | Author criticizes PLTR CEO interview and says Palantir may be far less important than Karp thinks. | +2.8% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.