Author

@ianbremmer ianbremmer

Geopolitical risk analyst delivering original macro frameworks, not market trade calls

Provides real-time geopolitical analysis and macro-regime fr

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
20

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@ianbremmer·Two-thirds of the global population lives in countries below replacement fertility of 2.1 births per woman.·
2026-08-25·@ianbremmer·Angus Reid polling shows 76% of Canadians support ending U.S. trade negotiations.·
2026-08-25·@ianbremmer·Author notes that Ontario is the leading foreign trade partner for 19 U.S. states.·
2026-08-25·@ianbremmer·Argues China's economic leverage makes U.S. enforcement of Iranian oil sanctions doubtful.·
2026-08-24·@ianbremmer·Quotes Carney arguing U.S. willingness to abandon agreements undermines trust in future American deals.·
2026-08-24·@ianbremmer·Explicitly expects U.S. gasoline prices to remain elevated in the near term.·
2026-08-24·@ianbremmer·Warns a U.S.-Canada trade conflict is economically consequential because Canada is the second-largest partner.·
2026-08-23·@ianbremmer·Argues U.S. alliances with Canada and Europe are permanently weakened, with China the principal beneficiary.·
2026-08-22·@ianbremmer·Warns that collapsing U.S.-Canada trust threatens a deeply integrated long-term economic relationship.·
2026-08-22·@ianbremmer·Characterizes the U.S.-Canada rupture as the largest bilateral breakdown in generations.·
2026-08-22·@ianbremmer·Warns that Canadian anger could sustain costly retaliation against perceived predatory U.S. policy.·
2026-08-22·@ianbremmer·Carney quote portrays U.S. commitments as unreliable, implying strained bilateral relations.·
2026-08-21·@ianbremmer·States a quantitative global demographic milestone with long-run macroeconomic relevance.·
2026-08-20·@ianbremmer·Reports U.S. national debt reaching $40T and compares debt additions by recent administrations.·
2026-08-20·@ianbremmer·Argues maximum pressure on Iran requires sanctioning Chinese firms, an unlikely U.S. step.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.