Author
@jasonfurman jasonfurman
grade Ax.com/jasonfurman ↗
Academic economist dissecting US inflation, labor, and productivity with measured rigor
Posts original, data-driven macroeconomic analysis — interpr
trader score
·
hit rate
·
mean α
·
signals 14d
13
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).
Recent signals13receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Calls June wage/price data more concerning for the Fed's inflation mandate. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Says labor outlook is slightly weaker than yesterday but resilient versus months ago. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Notes unemployment was 4.1% two years ago and 4.2% now, unusually stable. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Notes June participation and employment-population rate declines and survey divergence. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Jobs day report: 57K June jobs, 111K 3-month average, 4.2% unemployment, wage growth picked up. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Says PCE inflation data cut had people especially worried. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Reports PCE-based underlying inflation measure at 3.5% in May and elevated metrics. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Notes trimmed mean and median inflation measures are more tame. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Calls a data slide the most concerning of the month. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @jasonfurman | · | GDP revision and inflation risk imply less dovish Fed policy pressure. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @jasonfurman | · | States the dove case from slowing market-based measures and wage growth. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @jasonfurman | · | References full set of macro numbers without standalone detail. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-25 | · | @jasonfurman | · | Reports high PCE inflation and core PCE annualized rates across horizons. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.