Author · brief 2026-06-22

@jaysyoon jaysyoon

Named conviction long on the AI-datacenter optics and power supply chain

Posts high-conviction, tickered long theses and position upd

trader score
+1.46
hit rate
55%
mean α
+1.17%
signals 14d
32

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, +1.17% mean alpha, trader score +1.46. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.2% since posting (mean over 10 mentions with price data).

Neocloud longs dominate, with optical CPO optionality underneath

jaysyoon is concentrated in AI neocloud exposure, repeatedly preferring NBIS over CRWV while still disclosing a small CRWV long. The distinctive read is that AI compute economics, financing structure, ARR mix, and revenue per MW matter more than generic backlog, with LITE framed as an optical/CPO beneficiary. The only explicit trade action was adding BW after coal plant buildout news expanded perceived TAM.

Themes4analyst read · 2026-06-22
Neocloud economics and relative winners
bullintensifying13 signals
⚠ 62% of theme signals are NBIS — flag pump risk
Optical and CPO infrastructure beneficiaries
bullfading19 signals
⚠ 74% of theme signals are LITE — flag pump risk
AI policy subsidies and compute returns
bullintensifying14 signals
⚠ 57% of theme signals are NBIS — flag pump risk
Power infrastructure for AI buildout
bullconsistent1 signals
BW
⚠ 100% of theme signals are BW — flag pump risk
Direction this week

The week is concentrated in bullish neocloud and AI infrastructure exposure, led by NBIS versus CRWV and supported by LITE optical/CPO commentary. Conviction appears consistent rather than flipping, with one explicit add in BW after coal plant buildout news. Pump-risk flags are highest where discussion is concentrated: NBIS inside neoclouds, LITE inside optical, and the single-name BW power thesis.

Position disclosures5skin in the game
NBIS Likes NBIS more than a disclosed small CRWV long because of perceived neocloud quality held
CRWV Discloses a small CRWV long while arguing margins may inflect held
NBIS Says most neocloud exposure is in NBIS, with another position at 3% held
CRWV Discloses owning CRWV but says NBIS is much better due to financing and ARR mix held
NBIS Reiterates NBIS ownership preference versus CRWV on financing and ARR mix held
Best hypotheses4their highest-scoring claims in our index
Amazon robotics and Proteus-related opportunities could materially expand Ouster demand and justify a higher valuation.
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
Ciena, Broadcom, Marvell, and HPE demand signals confirm AI networking strength and improve read-throughs for LITE.
bullHIGH7 co-supporters
Musashi can dominate high-end supercapacitors as AI power demand accelerates, supporting rapid growth and material upsid
bullLOW1 co-supporters
POET’s selloff may be overdone because product relevance survives the MRVL split, creating optional recovery if trust or
flagMEDIUM4 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02PESI@jaysyoon+0.85Detailed PESI valuation thesis using secured revenue, EBIT estimates and $60+ target.·
2026-07-02PESI@jaysyoon+0.65Says PESI shares may move once actual award is announced and downplays filing concerns.·
2026-07-01·@jaysyoon·Inference compute demand will keep increasing and become largest compute consumer.·
2026-07-01PESI@jaysyoon+0.85Says PESI can generate over $300M annual revenue and shares are way too cheap.·
2026-07-01PESI@jaysyoon+0.75Revenue overview plus 60% incremental margin supports cheap valuation thesis.·
2026-07-01PESI@jaysyoon+0.90Says PESI has multiples of upside and is a $60+ stock trading at $15.75.·
2026-07-01PESI@jaysyoon+0.70Interprets 200W offsite treatment quote as implying PESI primary grouting provider.·
2026-07-01PESI@jaysyoon+0.65July 1 decision released confirming offsite grouting for 200W, author expects PESI work share.·
2026-07-01META@jaysyoon+0.10Compute shortage thesis; Meta selling compute is allocation issue, not surplus.-4.9%
2026-07-01PESI@jaysyoon+0.35Says little operational risk in government awarding majority of grouting work to PESI.·
2026-06-30PESI@jaysyoon+0.65Bullish breadcrumbs suggest PESI may win significant chunk of 200W grouting contract.·
2026-06-30AMBA@jaysyoon+0.45Says AMBA is going parabolic.-8.7%
2026-06-30OUST@jaysyoon+0.35Says OUST worked out eventually after taking time.-20.3%
2026-06-29PESI@jaysyoon+0.85PESI is a 60 stock going for 13 — Author gives strong upside valuation target for PESI.·
2026-06-29NBIS@jaysyoon+0.70Mocks sellside PT below price despite positive NBIS inflection, pricing and margin comments.-17.4%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.