@jiahanjimliu jiahanjimliu
Deep AI-infrastructure specialist reasoning from compute, power, and stack economics
Publishes original, mechanistic fundamental theses on AI dat
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, -0.34% mean alpha, trader score -0.39. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -10.4% since posting (mean over 56 mentions with price data).
This author is concentrated in AI infrastructure, especially IREN, SPCX, NBIS, CRWV, and MSFT-linked OpenAI exposure, while also disclosing a small OUST position for robotics. Their distinctive read is that secured power, GPU access, and model-platform leverage matter more than generic AI capex exposure, with cautious pushes against ORCL OCI, BE fuel-cell economics, and CRWV benchmark quality. Late window discussion stayed concentrated on neocloud power and benchmarks rather than a clear position flip.
The author stayed concentrated on neocloud power, GPU allocation, and model-platform leverage, with IREN the clearest repeated focus and OUST the only explicit position disclosure. They were constructive on IREN, SPCX, OUST, TSLA, and MSFT/OpenAI exposure, while cautious or bearish on BE fuel-cell economics, ORCL OCI momentum, META AI spend tapering, and parts of CRWV benchmark framing. No CALL_DIRECTIONAL signals appeared, so adds/trims are limited to the OUST assignment disclosure.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @jiahanjimliu | +0.65 | Author supports tying CEO RSUs to a $150 target and discloses 37.2k shares. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @jiahanjimliu | +0.25 | Asks whether CEO RSU compensation should be tied to a $150 stock price. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @jiahanjimliu | +0.20 | References Q2 AI revenue breakdown of 93m. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @jiahanjimliu | +0.45 | Job postings are framed as operational preparation for SW1 plans this fall. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @jiahanjimliu | +0.35 | Detailed IREN Q2 expectations, risks, and upside cases around AI revenue and contracts. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MSFT | @jiahanjimliu | +0.10 | Detailed IREN Q2 expectations, risks, and upside cases around AI revenue and contracts. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NVDA | @jiahanjimliu | +0.20 | Long thesis says IREN sentiment is low but thesis remains alive, with delivery/revenue baselines. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @jiahanjimliu | +0.45 | Long thesis says IREN sentiment is low but thesis remains alive, with delivery/revenue baselines. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @jiahanjimliu | +0.10 | Long thesis says IREN sentiment is low but thesis remains alive, with delivery/revenue baselines. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | EOSE | @jiahanjimliu | +0.20 | Long thesis says IREN sentiment is low but thesis remains alive, with delivery/revenue baselines. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | META | @jiahanjimliu | +0.20 | Long thesis says IREN sentiment is low but thesis remains alive, with delivery/revenue baselines. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | TSLA | @jiahanjimliu | +0.20 | Long thesis says IREN sentiment is low but thesis remains alive, with delivery/revenue baselines. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | NVDA | @jiahanjimliu | +0.25 | Expects IREN may join Nvidia revenue-sharing/credit-support program for Sweetwater in fall. | -1.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | IREN | @jiahanjimliu | +0.55 | Expects IREN may join Nvidia revenue-sharing/credit-support program for Sweetwater in fall. | -10.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | CRWV | @jiahanjimliu | -0.25 | Analyzes which neoclouds are threatened by META selling compute, favoring IREN and NBIS over CRWV/software platforms. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.