Author
@joecarlsonshow joecarlsonshow
grade Bx.com/joecarlsonshow ↗
Transparent long-only quality-compounder investor evangelizing mega-cap tech with disclosed P&L
Posts long-term fundamental theses and full position/P&L dis
trader score
-1.21
hit rate
35%
mean α
-0.73%
signals 14d
16
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -0.73% mean alpha, trader score -1.21. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -3.1% since posting (mean over 11 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | · | @joecarlsonshow | · | Reports the author's portfolio reaching an all-time high. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | MA | @joecarlsonshow | +0.60 | Discloses Mastercard becoming the portfolio's largest holding after rising 30% from yearly lows. | +1.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | GOOGL | @joecarlsonshow | +0.00 | Discloses Mastercard becoming the portfolio's largest holding after rising 30% from yearly lows. | -8.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | AAPL | @joecarlsonshow | +0.55 | Says nothing still matches the iPhone's power. | +1.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | AAPL | @joecarlsonshow | -0.55 | Strongly criticizes Apple's recent product advertising and marketing execution. | +1.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | AAPL | @joecarlsonshow | -0.45 | Says Meta now produces more compelling hardware than Apple. | +1.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | META | @joecarlsonshow | +0.65 | Says Meta now produces more compelling hardware than Apple. | -15.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @joecarlsonshow | · | Endorses Buffett's view that genuine corporate moats are rare. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | V | @joecarlsonshow | +0.40 | Reports Visa's rapid Brazilian growth and doubled local operating scale since Pix launched. | +4.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | META | @joecarlsonshow | +0.15 | Says the linked content is teasing a new Meta model. | -13.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | V | @joecarlsonshow | +0.45 | Argues durable execution matters more than rare structural moats, citing Visa, Mastercard and ASML as exceptions. | +4.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | MA | @joecarlsonshow | +0.45 | Argues durable execution matters more than rare structural moats, citing Visa, Mastercard and ASML as exceptions. | +4.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | ASML | @joecarlsonshow | +0.45 | Argues durable execution matters more than rare structural moats, citing Visa, Mastercard and ASML as exceptions. | -10.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | · | @joecarlsonshow | · | Sarcastically argues open-source AI will not necessarily destroy leading AI companies. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | · | @joecarlsonshow | · | Author argues a future 30% correction would be normal and not validate Burry's repeated crash calls. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.