Author
@JohnDoss1 JohnDoss1
grade Bx.com/JohnDoss1 ↗
Macro-doomer who trades the AI-semi bubble against oil with conditional triggers
Posts a continuous running macro-thematic commentary modelin
trader score
+0.65
hit rate
35%
mean α
+0.10%
signals 14d
24
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, +0.10% mean alpha, trader score +0.65. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.0% since posting (mean over 21 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | -0.70 | Says the technical setup for both major equity ETFs continues to look poor. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | -0.70 | Says the technical setup for both major equity ETFs continues to look poor. | -3.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | -0.10 | Says Friday volatility shorts depend on TSM trading well after its revenue release. | -2.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | VIX | @JohnDoss1 | -0.20 | Says Friday volatility shorts depend on TSM trading well after its revenue release. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | TSM | @JohnDoss1 | +0.15 | Says Friday volatility shorts depend on TSM trading well after its revenue release. | -7.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | -0.10 | Says Friday volatility shorts depend on TSM trading well after its revenue release. | -6.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | +0.45 | Treasury intervention is said to make index-level shorting virtually impossible. | -1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | +0.45 | Treasury intervention is said to make index-level shorting virtually impossible. | -5.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | VIX | @JohnDoss1 | +0.55 | Rising oil is framed as the key risk and spot VIX is expected above 20 into the midterms. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | USO | @JohnDoss1 | +0.25 | Rising oil is framed as the key risk and spot VIX is expected above 20 into the midterms. | +14.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | -0.35 | Author says the SPY and QQQ setup is poor and implies avoiding trades. | -1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | -0.35 | Author says the SPY and QQQ setup is poor and implies avoiding trades. | -5.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | · | @JohnDoss1 | · | Says daily results depend on oil, yields and volatility, but context is incomplete. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | -0.35 | Expects a tech pullback through month-end, then plans to buy technology after the midterms. — Provides explicit phased timing: near-term technology downside followed by a year-end buying opportunity. | -2.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | -0.35 | Expects a tech pullback through month-end, then plans to buy technology after the midterms. — Provides explicit phased timing: near-term technology downside followed by a year-end buying opportunity. | -7.0% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.