Author
@JohnDoss1 JohnDoss1
grade Bx.com/JohnDoss1 ↗
Macro-doomer who trades the AI-semi bubble against oil with conditional triggers
Posts a continuous running macro-thematic commentary modelin
trader score
-0.96
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.06%
signals 14d
34
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.06% mean alpha, trader score -0.96. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.2% since posting (mean over 26 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | +0.10 | Claims quantitative flows are pushing mega-cap stocks to drive QQQ toward all-time highs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | +0.55 | Claims quantitative flows are pushing mega-cap stocks to drive QQQ toward all-time highs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | MAGS | @JohnDoss1 | +0.50 | Claims quantitative flows are pushing mega-cap stocks to drive QQQ toward all-time highs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | +0.00 | Presents conditional QQQ upside or a 10% September drawdown based on Warsh's policy tone. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | +0.00 | Presents conditional QQQ upside or a 10% September drawdown based on Warsh's policy tone. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | +0.00 | Notes GS is at its June 1 level and watches for either a breakout or breakdown. | -0.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | +0.00 | Notes GS is at its June 1 level and watches for either a breakout or breakdown. | -0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | GS | @JohnDoss1 | +0.00 | Notes GS is at its June 1 level and watches for either a breakout or breakdown. | -0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | -0.65 | Says equities will sell off if Warsh hints at rate increases at Jackson Hole. | -0.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | -0.65 | Says equities will sell off if Warsh hints at rate increases at Jackson Hole. | -0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | +0.00 | Use GLD as a midterm hedge; expects it to surge if social Democrats win. — Explicitly recommends GLD as an attractive hedge with little perceived downside. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | QQQ | @JohnDoss1 | +0.00 | Use GLD as a midterm hedge; expects it to surge if social Democrats win. — Explicitly recommends GLD as an attractive hedge with little perceived downside. | +0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | GLD | @JohnDoss1 | +0.80 | Use GLD as a midterm hedge; expects it to surge if social Democrats win. — Explicitly recommends GLD as an attractive hedge with little perceived downside. | -4.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | GLD | @JohnDoss1 | +0.80 | Predicts gold will surge after a specified political outcome and suspects fund positioning. | -4.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | SPY | @JohnDoss1 | -0.40 | Characterizes SPY and QQQ price action as distribution. | +0.4% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.