Author

@M_C_Klein M_C_Klein

Rigorous named macro economist debating trade, inflation, and capital flows from first principles

Writes original macroeconomic and balance-of-payments analys

trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
38

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +2.1% since posting (mean over 2 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@M_C_Klein·Argues excessive inflation is structurally embedded rather than a one-time tariff effect.·
2026-08-28·@M_C_Klein·Sarcastically rejects the claim that tariffs are disinflationary.·
2026-08-27·@M_C_Klein·Suggests France's nominal growth outlook has improved relative to 2018.·
2026-08-26·@M_C_Klein·Argues firms' value added must appear in expenditure data if retained earnings are not accumulating as cash.·
2026-08-26·@M_C_Klein·Explains how dividends, buybacks and capital-gains-tax timing affect corporate and household saving data.·
2026-08-26·@M_C_Klein·Warns that tax timing and the shift from dividends to buybacks can distort economic data.·
2026-08-26·@M_C_Klein·Skeptically recalls claims that pandemic fiscal responses validated modern monetary theory.·
2026-08-26·@M_C_Klein·Flags an unusual GDP datum: US corporate net interest payments were reportedly negative in Q2 2026.·
2026-08-26·@M_C_Klein·Notes the foreign-direct-investment income surplus has contracted over recent years.·
2026-08-26·@M_C_Klein·Reports that domestic profits in computer and electronics manufacturing doubled in one year.·
2026-08-26·@M_C_Klein·Says the GDP-GDI discrepancy is flat nominally and shrinking relative to economic activity.·
2026-08-26·@M_C_Klein·Explains why semiconductor spending and outsourced rack assembly are treated differently in investment data.·
2026-08-25NVDA@M_C_Klein+0.00Explains why income paid by Nvidia ultimately appears in expenditure-based GDP accounting.+2.1%
2026-08-25·@M_C_Klein·Explains that semiconductors are intermediate inputs and are not directly counted as business fixed investment.·
2026-08-25NVDA@M_C_Klein+0.00Rejects the claim that Nvidia's GDP contribution is missing and explains its gross-value-added treatment.+2.1%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.