Author

@market_sleuth market_sleuth

Intermarket-aware tape reader using EMA levels and historical analogs for tactical index calls

Posts real-time technical and macro analysis of the US index

trader score
-1.91
hit rate
5%
mean α
-0.31%
signals 14d
66

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 5% hit rate, -0.31% mean alpha, trader score -1.91. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.3% since posting (mean over 34 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16SPY@market_sleuth-0.20Reports Monday and Tuesday as 23-year lows for full-session SPY volume.-0.4%
2026-10-16SPY@market_sleuth+0.35Bullish divergence between a new SPY low and lower VIX high suggests a possible reversal.-0.4%
2026-10-16VIX@market_sleuth-0.25Bullish divergence between a new SPY low and lower VIX high suggests a possible reversal.·
2026-10-16VIX@market_sleuth+0.40Notes VIX rapidly approaching 22.·
2026-10-16VIX@market_sleuth+0.50Reports VIX making a new weekly high instead of the expected Friday volatility decline.·
2026-10-16TSLA@market_sleuth-0.30Reports TSLA reversing from a $14 premarket gain to a $4 decline.+4.9%
2026-10-16SPY@market_sleuth-0.20Reports five intraday direction flips and warns OPEX commonly produces whipsaw.-0.4%
2026-10-16SPY@market_sleuth+0.00Notes SPX and SPY have made no net progress in 11 weeks.-0.4%
2026-10-16SPX@market_sleuth+0.00Notes SPX and SPY have made no net progress in 11 weeks.·
2026-10-15SPY@market_sleuth-0.20Sarcastically questions claims of a huge buying opportunity after SPY returned to an old level.-1.5%
2026-10-15AAPL@market_sleuth-0.25Warns against piling into Apple after CNBC calls it a safe haven.+1.7%
2026-10-15NVDA@market_sleuth+0.05Notes NVDA set an all-time high seven trading days earlier.-2.9%
2026-10-15·@market_sleuth·Flags an unspecified instrument's $764 level for monitoring today.·
2026-10-15·@market_sleuth·Retail sales beat forecast and the Empire State survey nearly doubled consensus.·
2026-10-15·@market_sleuth·US producer prices rose 1.3% month over month versus a 0.6% forecast.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.