Author

@market_sleuth market_sleuth

Intermarket-aware tape reader using EMA levels and historical analogs for tactical index calls

Posts real-time technical and macro analysis of the US index

trader score
-0.22
hit rate
15%
mean α
-0.19%
signals 14d
52

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 15% hit rate, -0.19% mean alpha, trader score -0.22. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.1% since posting (mean over 32 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@market_sleuth·Mocks a $90B currency-support effort after half its effect was erased within four weeks.·
2026-08-28SPY@market_sleuth+0.00Reports that SPY traded within a $12 range during the last three weeks of August.
2026-08-28·@market_sleuth·Interprets Warsh's speech as criticism of Powell's 2021 forward guidance and delayed inflation response.·
2026-08-28·@market_sleuth·Highlights Warsh's warnings against Fed-dependent trading and unequal harm from policy errors.·
2026-08-28·@market_sleuth·Cites four prior incoming Fed chairs whose first Jackson Hole speeches coincided with market gains.·
2026-08-27·@market_sleuth·Notes oil above $90 while mocking repeated peace-deal claims.·
2026-08-27NVDA@market_sleuth-0.25Identifies NVDA's $226-$228 area as formidable resistance near its ATH.-4.6%
2026-08-26NVDA@market_sleuth+0.00Reports SPY remains range-bound at $766.3 after NVDA earnings.+3.8%
2026-08-26SPY@market_sleuth-0.10Reports SPY remains range-bound at $766.3 after NVDA earnings.+0.4%
2026-08-26·@market_sleuth·Reports another narrow $2 range day, but does not identify the instrument.·
2026-08-25MRNA@market_sleuth+0.55Projects MRNA will retest $180 based on higher lows and prior November 2022 and August price levels.-13.1%
2026-08-25NVDA@market_sleuth+0.00Flags NVDA, CRM and MRVL earnings as potentially impactful and provides CRM and MRVL release timing.+2.1%
2026-08-25MRVL@market_sleuth+0.00Flags NVDA, CRM and MRVL earnings as potentially impactful and provides CRM and MRVL release timing.-9.9%
2026-08-25CRM@market_sleuth+0.00Flags NVDA, CRM and MRVL earnings as potentially impactful and provides CRM and MRVL release timing.+24.5%
2026-08-25·@market_sleuth·Reports a 9% new-home-sales miss, weak units and a new low in consumer confidence.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.