Author
@MebFaber MebFaber
grade Ax.com/MebFaber ↗
Rigorous, contrarian asset-allocation quant turning market history into actionable frameworks
Publishes original macro, valuation and asset-allocation res
trader score
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hit rate
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mean α
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signals 14d
29
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls). Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.6% since posting (mean over 3 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | · | @MebFaber | · | Author ranks valuation metrics by perceived popularity. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @MebFaber | · | Quoted investing view frames recently cheap, disliked assets as potential bargains. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @MebFaber | · | Discloses that half of one retirement account is invested in a closed-end fund. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @MebFaber | · | Claims an unnamed chairman is illegally using inside information to promote a stock. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @MebFaber | · | Argues private credit requires 14–15% pretax yield to match a 10% equity return after tax. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @MebFaber | · | Forecasts AI-driven consolidation and role changes across investment teams. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @MebFaber | · | Reports a Minnesota pension fund underreported fees by 400%. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @MebFaber | · | Says a basic endowment-style ETF beat 80% of public-endowment peers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @MebFaber | · | Mocks holding high-income mutual funds in taxable accounts. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @MebFaber | · | Proposes value investing as a hedge against AI risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @MebFaber | · | Reports divergent emerging-market returns and earnings revisions across capitalization and names. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @MebFaber | · | Quoted warning says excessive optimism impairs risk assessment and judgment. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @MebFaber | · | Quoted view rejects confidence in forecasting interest rates. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | · | @MebFaber | · | Goldman data show China dominates token usage but represents a much smaller share of spending. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | · | @MebFaber | · | Discusses autonomous AI portfolio agents, productive dissent and tax-aware investment decisions. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.