Author

@NickTimiraos NickTimiraos

WSJ Fed whisperer delivering real-time, data-rich US monetary policy reporting and analysis

Reports and analyzes Federal Reserve policy, the FOMC reacti

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Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16·@NickTimiraos·Warsh rejects providing market-guiding hints after officials stressed no urgency.·
2026-10-16·@NickTimiraos·Warsh says AI will improve forecasts and fundamentally change monetary-policy conduct.·
2026-10-15·@NickTimiraos·Warsh calls the AI investment boom the global economy's most important upside development.·
2026-10-15·@NickTimiraos·Projects core PCE at 0.34% monthly, 3.1% yearly, and 2.9% annualized over three months.·
2026-10-15·@NickTimiraos·Fed officials flag persistent services inflation and AI-driven overheating, while stressing no urgency.·
2026-10-14·@NickTimiraos·District firms expect further price increases as contracts reset.·
2026-10-14·@NickTimiraos·Reports unexpectedly firm inflation ahead of the final pre-meeting Fed remarks.·
2026-10-14·@NickTimiraos·Reports September core, median, and trimmed-mean CPI readings.·
2026-10-14·@NickTimiraos·Argues firm inflation strengthens the case for another Fed hike by December.·
2026-10-14·@NickTimiraos·Details broad-based September core CPI strength across goods, shelter, and services.·
2026-10-14·@NickTimiraos·Reports core CPI above forecasts and accelerating on a three-month basis.·
2026-10-13·@NickTimiraos·Cook's lawyer requests postponement of a White House hearing until after the Fed meeting.·
2026-10-13·@NickTimiraos·Provides a dated chronology of White House efforts concerning Fed Governor Cook.·
2026-10-13·@NickTimiraos·Forecasters expect energy to lift headline CPI while core inflation remains tamer.·
2026-10-13·@NickTimiraos·Williams says future data could justify either a higher or unchanged rate path.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.