Author

@Noahpinion Noahpinion

Economist-pundit dissecting AI, China, and defense via rigorous original macro reasoning

Public economics commentary and original thematic analysis o

trader score
·
hit rate
·
mean α
·
signals 14d
31

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Not yet in the scored-bets universe (fewer than 20 scoreable calls).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@Noahpinion·Author says a chart shows China smoothing data expected to rebound before later acknowledging persistent weakness.·
2026-08-27·@Noahpinion·Challenges forecasts of 30% AI-driven growth by contrasting them with current 1.5% growth.·
2026-08-27·@Noahpinion·Sarcastically implies tariffs are failing to deliver their promised economic results.·
2026-08-27·@Noahpinion·Expresses strong positive sentiment toward solar power deployment in Africa.·
2026-08-26·@Noahpinion·Strongly rejects a paper's anti-AI conclusion as unsupported by historical evidence.·
2026-08-25·@Noahpinion·Author criticizes persistent U.S. deficit expansion and argues neither party provides adequate fiscal restraint.·
2026-08-25·@Noahpinion·Author describes the U.S. government as increasingly borrowing merely to service prior debt.·
2026-08-24·@Noahpinion·Skeptically rejects the prevailing claim that AI destroys jobs, implying a more constructive labor view.·
2026-08-24·@Noahpinion·Mocks claims that AI capability is hitting a wall, expressing a bullish view on continued progress.·
2026-08-24·@Noahpinion·Argues data-center bans do not materially constrain AI itself.·
2026-08-24·@Noahpinion·Questions whether America's most important problems remain economic·
2026-08-22·@Noahpinion·Argues U.S. data-center bans will shift investment abroad without slowing AI progress.·
2026-08-22·@Noahpinion·Frames competing explanations for rising long-term interest rates, including debt and AI investment.·
2026-08-21·@Noahpinion·Argues bond markets are increasingly concerned about rapidly growing U.S. government debt.·
2026-08-21·@Noahpinion·Presents a fiscal-policy framework that austerity can be appropriate depending on economic conditions.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.