Author · brief 2026-06-22

@nullcharts nullcharts

Intermarket chartist surfing commodity and AI-compute rotations inside a 1970s regime thesis

Posts tickered, level-specific swing/position calls and orig

trader score
+0.51
hit rate
60%
mean α
+0.23%
signals 14d
25

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, +0.23% mean alpha, trader score +0.51. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.9% since posting (mean over 11 mentions with price data).

European ETFs lead while weak-dollar copper bet remains

nullcharts is focused on country ETF relative strength, especially Austria versus Germany, while still leaning into copper miners and weak-dollar trades. The distinctive read is cross-asset: European regional outperformance, copper upside, and a contested DXY setup where dollar breakout risk conflicts with LatAm currency accumulation. No explicit position disclosure or late-window flip appears in the provided signals.

Themes3analyst read · 2026-06-22
European country ETF relative strength
bullNEW5 signals
EWGGREKEWPEWOEWI
Weak-dollar copper and currency setup
mixedconsistent3 signals
⚠ 67% of theme signals are DXY — flag pump risk
Equity technical levels and breakouts
mixedconsistent2 signals
MSFTKSTR
⚠ 50% of theme signals are KSTR — flag pump risk
Direction this week

Conviction is concentrated in European regional ETF relative strength and the weak-dollar copper trade, with COPX as the clearest directional long. DXY is the key tension: the author remains positioned for weak-dollar trades, but later flags that a DXY breakout versus LatAm currency accumulation means one side of the setup must fail. There are no explicit adds, trims, exits, or position disclosures in the provided window.

Best hypotheses5their highest-scoring claims in our index
AI data-center power scarcity should structurally benefit Bloom because fast onsite generation is becoming a bottleneck
bullHIGH6 co-supporters
A technical breakout from a long reversal base could open meaningful upside if MSOS reclaims key levels.
bullMEDIUM3 co-supporters
Renewed fuel-cell interest tied to AI data-center power needs can lift BLDP and other laggards.
bullLOW1 co-supporters
Single-stock volatility remains elevated relative to index volatility, masking dispersion risk under a calm VIX surface.
neutralMEDIUM3 co-supporters
A URNM close below 58 would shift short-to-mid-term risk lower unless price quickly reverses.
bearLOW1 co-supporters
Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-07-02IAK@nullcharts+0.55Insurance stocks breaking out; IGIC completing a base and IAK breaking to ATH.·
2026-07-02IGIC@nullcharts+0.55Insurance stocks breaking out; IGIC completing a base and IAK breaking to ATH.·
2026-07-01BWET@nullcharts+0.25BWET unwinding after Iran war spike but remains above anchored VWAPs, implying premium persists if held.·
2026-07-01XLY@nullcharts+0.10Catch-up scenario could put SPX at 8000 by year-end even with muted tech participation.-0.8%
2026-07-01XLP@nullcharts+0.10Catch-up scenario could put SPX at 8000 by year-end even with muted tech participation.+2.0%
2026-07-01IWD@nullcharts+0.10Catch-up scenario could put SPX at 8000 by year-end even with muted tech participation.·
2026-07-01SPX@nullcharts+0.55Catch-up scenario could put SPX at 8000 by year-end even with muted tech participation.·
2026-07-01MAGS@nullcharts+0.10Catch-up scenario could put SPX at 8000 by year-end even with muted tech participation.-1.1%
2026-07-01IWF@nullcharts+0.10Catch-up scenario could put SPX at 8000 by year-end even with muted tech participation.·
2026-06-29XLK@nullcharts+0.00CIBR hit decade high versus IGV but decade low versus XLK, showing mixed relative leadership.-2.6%
2026-06-29CIBR@nullcharts+0.10CIBR hit decade high versus IGV but decade low versus XLK, showing mixed relative leadership.+2.5%
2026-06-29IGV@nullcharts-0.10CIBR hit decade high versus IGV but decade low versus XLK, showing mixed relative leadership.+4.1%
2026-06-25VIX@nullcharts+0.25SPX/VIX ratio failed breakout; prior tags marked corrective waves.·
2026-06-25SPX@nullcharts-0.35SPX/VIX ratio failed breakout; prior tags marked corrective waves.·
2026-06-25MSTR@nullcharts-0.15Bitcoin at new 52-week lows; author not buyer but says low feels close.+18.1%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.