Author

@paurooteri paurooteri

Mechanistic AI-semiconductor supply-chain analyst tracing compute demand to Asian component names

Publishes deep, frequently quantified theses on how AI compu

trader score
-0.29
hit rate
60%
mean α
-0.16%
signals 14d
370

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 60% hit rate, -0.16% mean alpha, trader score -0.29. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.5% since posting (mean over 192 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28·@paurooteri·Says Unimicron problems would benefit Ibiden's supply chain, with links to Nittobo, Ajinomoto, and Intel EMIB-T.·
2026-08-28·@paurooteri·Suggests Unimicron's large-board exposure could benefit Japanese substrate manufacturers.·
2026-08-283037.TW@paurooteri-0.30Reports prosecutors searched Unimicron over origin-labeling issues; the company says operations are unaffected.·
2026-08-28·@paurooteri·Observes an exchange rate near five yen as a new norm but does not identify the currency pair in text.·
2026-08-28·@paurooteri·Details Taiwan-dollar appreciation, foreign inflows, volume, and potential moves toward 31.5–31.4 per USD.·
2026-08-28·@paurooteri·Speculates that another currency intervention may be becoming a gradual recurring event.·
2026-08-28NVDA@paurooteri+0.10Says Broadcom and Google are more aggressive than Nvidia on memory, intensifying competition for supply.
2026-08-28AVGO@paurooteri+0.35Says Broadcom and Google are more aggressive than Nvidia on memory, intensifying competition for supply.
2026-08-28GOOGL@paurooteri+0.35Says Broadcom and Google are more aggressive than Nvidia on memory, intensifying competition for supply.
2026-08-28AAPL@paurooteri-0.20Suggests Kioxia may be preparing to charge Apple aggressively, implying higher input costs for Apple.
2026-08-28000660.KS@paurooteri+0.35SK Hynix plans a $4B-plus Indiana HBM4E packaging facility targeting 2029 production.·
2026-08-28·@paurooteri·Highlights widening compensation advantages at Taiwanese and Korean semiconductor companies.·
2026-08-28TSM@paurooteri+0.60Reports record TSMC Q2 revenue and profit alongside sharply higher employee bonuses.
2026-08-28·@paurooteri·Reports Panasonic raising MEGTRON prices and warns of higher substrate costs outside AI.·
2026-08-283037.TW@paurooteri-0.45Reports a prosecutorial search of Unimicron and detention of executives and an accountant.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.