Author

@puppyeh1 puppyeh1

Rigorous special-situations PM dissecting ASX small-cap arb and AI-capex macro bear

Publishes original, quantified merger-arb and special-situat

trader score
+0.74
hit rate
73%
mean α
+1.30%
signals 14d
26

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 11 scored bets: 73% hit rate, +1.30% mean alpha, trader score +0.74. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -7.8% since posting (mean over 2 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-27121440.KQ@puppyeh1-0.45Argues alleged process issues may add legal risk to Golfzon's sale and force insiders to reconsider a low tender.·
2026-08-27EVO.AX@puppyeh1-0.65Criticizes non-cash write-off framing as obscuring past cash-funded malinvestment.·
2026-08-27FRS.AX@puppyeh1-0.50Reports a panel declaration of unacceptable circumstances involving FRS and praises the challenge.·
2026-08-27ZNC.AX@puppyeh1+0.20Reports a panel declaration of unacceptable circumstances involving FRS and praises the challenge.·
2026-08-25·@puppyeh1·Calls an unidentified security cheap and expects it to trade higher, but ticker context is absent.·
2026-08-25121440.KQ@puppyeh1-0.70Condemns Golfzon Holdings' treatment of minority shareholders as daylight robbery.·
2026-08-24HUM.AX@puppyeh1+0.70Argues forward book value and returns make the depressed price and lack of a renewed bid irrational.·
2026-08-24HUM.AX@puppyeh1+0.80Buying back HUM.AX shares at roughly A$0.40. — Explicitly buys shares, citing book value, low earnings multiple and improving fundamentals.·
2026-08-24OGC@puppyeh1-0.10L1 bought 10M AUC shares after bid launch, increasing odds the OGC offer is raised or fails.·
2026-08-24AUC.AX@puppyeh1+0.50L1 bought 10M AUC shares after bid launch, increasing odds the OGC offer is raised or fails.·
2026-08-2329M.AX@puppyeh1+0.80Celebrates 29M.AX rising from A$0.24 to A$0.34 roughly four weeks after another author's publication.·
2026-08-23EUR.AX@puppyeh1-0.30Taking profits on EUR.AX at A$0.36 while retaining some exposure. — Author is taking profits in EUR.AX after gains and cites CRML's move and limited remaining deal recuts.·
2026-08-23CRML@puppyeh1+0.30Taking profits on EUR.AX at A$0.36 while retaining some exposure. — Author is taking profits in EUR.AX after gains and cites CRML's move and limited remaining deal recuts.+0.1%
2026-08-21·@puppyeh1·Author endorses a basket of Japanese deep-value ideas without naming securities.·
2026-08-20A1N.AX@puppyeh1-0.65Mocks ARN Media's $18M free-cash-flow presentation because $9M came from asset sales.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.