Author
@PythiaR PythiaR
grade Ax.com/PythiaR ↗
Anon AI-semiconductor supply-chain PM trading bottlenecks as long/short pairs
Posts deep fundamental and supply-chain analysis of the AI h
trader score
-0.07
hit rate
45%
mean α
-0.05%
signals 14d
95
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 45% hit rate, -0.05% mean alpha, trader score -0.07. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +0.3% since posting (mean over 57 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | DIS | @PythiaR | -0.35 | Suggests Disney has run out of ideas and is resorting to more solo Darth Vader content. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @PythiaR | · | Argues business quality should be judged by future cash flows rather than timing alone. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @PythiaR | · | Plans to exit in about 11 months after expecting 100% NTM growth. — Forward exit timing is explicit, but the security is missing from the reply. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @PythiaR | · | Argues unnamed firms benefit from AI and possess durable moats because EUV is exceptionally hard to disrupt. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | TSM | @PythiaR | +0.80 | Buy ASML and TSM. — Explicit forward buy instruction for both semiconductor names. | -2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | ASML | @PythiaR | +0.80 | Buy ASML and TSM. — Explicit forward buy instruction for both semiconductor names. | -2.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @PythiaR | · | Advocates waiting for falling stocks to stabilize and buying on the upswing rather than catching knives. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | META | @PythiaR | +0.35 | Suggests META may reduce reliance on Anthropic and warns against using Anthropic ARR as the sole AI-health metric. | +1.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | SNPS | @PythiaR | -0.45 | Sarcastically places SNPS in an expected software downturn dubbed SoftwareFall. | -4.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @PythiaR | · | Criticizes unnamed management's visibility after poorly timed share repurchases. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @PythiaR | · | Mentions having shorted software as a completed action without specific tickers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | CRM | @PythiaR | +0.40 | Reports CRM rising 10% and adds celebratory commentary. | +24.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | NVDA | @PythiaR | -0.40 | Argues NVDA despecification and stacked-architecture changes weaken both sides of an HBM thesis. | +3.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @PythiaR | · | Describes stepwise semiconductor supply-demand cycles and warns of valuation-sensitive air pockets. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @PythiaR | · | Expresses skepticism that ordinary employees will broadly adopt AI coding tools, especially in banks. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.