Author

@PythiaR PythiaR

Anon AI-semiconductor supply-chain PM trading bottlenecks as long/short pairs

Posts deep fundamental and supply-chain analysis of the AI h

trader score
-0.50
hit rate
35%
mean α
-0.68%
signals 14d
79

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -0.68% mean alpha, trader score -0.50. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.8% since posting (mean over 43 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16MU@PythiaR+0.05Mockingly compares CoreWeave's price with Micron's without a full thesis.-0.1%
2026-10-16CRWV@PythiaR-0.25Mockingly compares CoreWeave's price with Micron's without a full thesis.-11.7%
2026-10-16·@PythiaR·Argues AI infrastructure buildout can persist despite shifting lab market shares.·
2026-10-16·@PythiaR·Argues coding should be defined broadly across common knowledge-work tools.·
2026-10-16GOOGL@PythiaR-0.65Claims Google's AI product cannot compete with Anthropic's offering.-6.0%
2026-10-16CRWV@PythiaR-0.20Suggests CoreWeave needs a yieldco, likely as a sarcastic financing critique.-11.7%
2026-10-16CRWV@PythiaR+0.55Relays JPM's constructive credit thesis on CoreWeave's demand, funding and debt capacity.-11.7%
2026-10-16AMD@PythiaR+0.05Relays JPM analysis that CDS widening largely reflects hedging and positive-basis trades.-2.3%
2026-10-16CRWV@PythiaR+0.15Relays JPM analysis that CDS widening largely reflects hedging and positive-basis trades.-11.7%
2026-10-16GM@PythiaR+0.00Uses automotive innovation history as an analogy for evaluating AI progress.-9.6%
2026-10-15·@PythiaR·Suggests unspecified conditions are calming, but lacks asset context.·
2026-10-15QURE@PythiaR-0.40Jokingly compares owning QURE with an unpleasant, expensive experience.-0.4%
2026-10-15TSLA@PythiaR-0.10Prefers another vehicle feature over the Tesla Roadster's aerial-flip capability.+2.7%
2026-10-15SOXX@PythiaR+0.25Presents a preferred semiconductor and AI-infrastructure ticker list.-7.1%
2026-10-15TSM@PythiaR+0.25Presents a preferred semiconductor and AI-infrastructure ticker list.-0.9%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.