@qualtrim qualtrim
Data-driven quality-compounder bull tracking mega-cap fundamentals versus valuation
Publishes ticker'd fundamental snapshots and valuation argum
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 25% hit rate, -1.22% mean alpha, trader score -1.58. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +1.3% since posting (mean over 33 mentions with price data).
qualtrim is mostly running long-duration valuation math on large-cap compounders, led by MSFT, NFLX, NOW, META, AMZN, MA, and UBER. The distinctive read is less event-driven and more return-model driven: EPS, FCF yield, P/E, subscription upside, and ad growth are used to argue several quality names can still compound from current levels. There are no directional call or position-disclosure signals in the payload, but NFLX is two-sided with an early weak-quarter critique followed by several long-term bullish return cases.
The window is dominated by bullish quality-compounder return math, especially MSFT and NFLX, with repeated FCF, EPS, P/E, and yield-based upside cases. NFLX is the only clear two-sided name: an early bearish quarter-quality critique is followed by several longer-term bullish return and ad-growth signals. There are no CALL_DIRECTIONAL or POSITION_DISCLOSURE signals, so adds, trims, exits, and explicit trade actions are not evidenced in the payload.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | META | @qualtrim | +0.60 | Bill Ackman says Meta is very cheap and he likes Meta. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | PLTR | @qualtrim | +0.75 | Palantir in 2028: $488 — Author models PLTR at $488 in 2028 from FCF growth assumptions. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | PLTR | @qualtrim | +0.45 | Alex Karp says Palantir could see $15-18B in FCF two years out. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | META | @qualtrim | +0.60 | Model says Meta ads could surpass Google ads by 2029 using explicit CAGR assumptions. | -4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | GOOG | @qualtrim | +0.15 | Model says Meta ads could surpass Google ads by 2029 using explicit CAGR assumptions. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | GOOGL | @qualtrim | +0.15 | Model says Meta ads could surpass Google ads by 2029 using explicit CAGR assumptions. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | GOOG | @qualtrim | +0.70 | Google can outperform with 17.5% EPS growth and 26x multiple, implying $650 by 2030. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | GOOGL | @qualtrim | +0.70 | Google can outperform with 17.5% EPS growth and 26x multiple, implying $650 by 2030. | -0.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | AMZN | @qualtrim | +0.55 | Cites Ackman calling Amazon dominant and notes near-lowest P/E despite much larger revenue. | +1.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | PTON | @qualtrim | -0.35 | Contrasts chart of broken stock versus broken business for NOW and PTON. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | NOW | @qualtrim | +0.15 | Contrasts chart of broken stock versus broken business for NOW and PTON. | +6.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | AMZN | @qualtrim | +0.55 | Says Amazon earnings are record high while multiple compresses and cites Ackman accumulating. | +1.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | NFLX | @qualtrim | +0.35 | Calls a list of earnings-linked stocks screaming opportunity, starting with NFLX. | +5.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-27 | NFLX | @qualtrim | +0.35 | Cites regional growth and ARPU numbers as international monetization opportunity. | +5.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-27 | NOW | @qualtrim | +0.30 | Compares ServiceNow operating cash flow at IPO to 2026 cash flow. | +8.1% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.