Author

@rubicon59 rubicon59

Bottom-up AI-supply-chain stockpicker hunting mispriced memory, semis, and app-layer names

Builds original fundamental and valuation theses on under-fo

trader score
+2.16
hit rate
55%
mean α
+1.86%
signals 14d
37

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 55% hit rate, +1.86% mean alpha, trader score +2.16. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.0% since posting (mean over 25 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28NVDA@rubicon59+0.40Dismisses the latest Nvidia concern as another round of fear and uncertainty.
2026-08-28NVDA@rubicon59+0.65Despite large gains, Nvidia and Intel are explicitly described as still cheap.
2026-08-28INTC@rubicon59+0.75Despite large gains, Nvidia and Intel are explicitly described as still cheap.
2026-08-27INTC@rubicon59+0.70Quotes bullish business targets for Intel EMIB, including multibillion-dollar customers and 30% margins.-2.8%
2026-08-27INTC@rubicon59+0.55Argues advanced packaging is the new driver of semiconductor scaling, positively implying Intel.-2.8%
2026-08-27NVDA@rubicon59-0.15Observes that NVDA fell after hours immediately following earnings.-4.6%
2026-08-27INTC@rubicon59+0.70Characterizes Intel CEO's conference remarks as very bullish.-2.8%
2026-08-27NVDA@rubicon59+0.65Treats NVDA's constrained 70% next-year revenue guide as confirmation of the thesis.-4.6%
2026-08-26NVDA@rubicon59+0.70Characterizes Nvidia's quarter and guidance as spectacular.+3.8%
2026-08-24NVDA@rubicon59+0.00Speculates that an Intel package includes logic from Nvidia or a hyperscaler.+4.4%
2026-08-24INTC@rubicon59+0.00Speculates that an Intel package includes logic from Nvidia or a hyperscaler.+2.5%
2026-08-19KXIAY@rubicon59+0.00Observes unusually high volatility without a directional stance.-7.6%
2026-08-18APP@rubicon59+0.70Calls APP cheap relative to growth, founder-led and backed by a strong track record.+3.4%
2026-08-17WDC@rubicon59+0.00Notes that WDC and STX recently traded at single-digit valuation multiples.-14.3%
2026-08-17STX@rubicon59+0.00Notes that WDC and STX recently traded at single-digit valuation multiples.-16.6%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.