Author
@shanaka86 shanaka86
grade Ax.com/shanaka86 ↗
Long-form macro-geopolitical analyst mapping chokepoints to crypto, oil and AI compute plumbing
Writes dense original frameworks tying geopolitics (Iran-Hor
trader score
+0.57
hit rate
75%
mean α
+0.48%
signals 14d
123
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 75% hit rate, +0.48% mean alpha, trader score +0.57. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.1% since posting (mean over 58 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | SCHW | @shanaka86 | -0.15 | Explains that Schwab's margin-loan growth reflects leveraged long-short tax strategies and their risks. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SHOP | @shanaka86 | +0.30 | Proposes an AI-commerce ecosystem linking Shopify inventory, Amazon fulfillment and Grok. | -0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | AMZN | @shanaka86 | +0.30 | Proposes an AI-commerce ecosystem linking Shopify inventory, Amazon fulfillment and Grok. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @shanaka86 | -0.45 | Contrasts CoreWeave's 15% unsecured-bond yield with its protected 5.9% chip loan. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @shanaka86 | -0.55 | Detailed bearish capital-structure thesis: ring-fenced collateral weakens unsecured creditors and equity. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @shanaka86 | -0.40 | Challenges the reported Tesla-SpaceX exchange ratio and stresses no offer was announced. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @shanaka86 | -0.35 | Warns Tesla holders that a rumored merger ratio would severely undervalue their shares. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @shanaka86 | -0.35 | Analyzes a hypothetical SpaceX takeover ratio and argues Tesla holders should demand more. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | MSTR | @shanaka86 | -0.35 | MSCI test data listed Strategy for potential index deletion, with final decision due November 11. | -3.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | CRWV | @shanaka86 | -0.55 | Argues strong AI demand may not benefit equity because secured financing captures key cash flows. | -17.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | BAC | @shanaka86 | -0.25 | CNBC reports BofA hired 1,000 contractors to help 3,000 staff patch AI-exposed software flaws. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | SPX | @shanaka86 | -0.40 | Reports a $1T six-session chip-stock drawdown and S&P 500's worst day since July. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | BAC | @shanaka86 | -0.60 | BofA profit fell 17% to $6.93B amid a $1.2B penalty, sending shares down over 7%. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @shanaka86 | · | Details allegedly implanted Ledger wallets and reseller sales suspensions. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @shanaka86 | · | IRGC says a container ship sank near Hormuz after hitting a naval mine. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.