Author

@ShanuMathew93 ShanuMathew93

Rigorous AI-infrastructure and power-grid analyst who quantifies the compute supply chain

Publishes original, framework-driven analysis on AI compute

trader score
-0.76
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.58%
signals 14d
180

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.58% mean alpha, trader score -0.76. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.9% since posting (mean over 53 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-28MSFT@ShanuMathew93-0.10Notes unspecified MSFT and GOOGL walkaways with mildly concerned but unclear framing.
2026-08-28GOOGL@ShanuMathew93-0.10Notes unspecified MSFT and GOOGL walkaways with mildly concerned but unclear framing.
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Expresses strong optimism about Codex's competitive reach without a specific public company.·
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Warns that fundraising and deal incentives make balanced views rare.·
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Corrects a data-center power estimate and gives a cautious 2–5GW credible starting range.·
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Builds a quantified framework for U.S. data-center load capacity in 2026–27.·
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Highlights US and Texas concentration and ecosystem sensitivity to a Texas pause, relying on attached data.·
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Quantifies hyperscale project capacity, delays, cancellations, credibility and construction bottlenecks.·
2026-08-28NVDA@ShanuMathew93+0.65Builds a bullish NVDA FY28 thesis from data-center mix, neocloud capacity and revenue visibility, with financing caveats.
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Warns that widespread 1GW-plus power-plant plans are extremely ambitious and carry significant execution risk.·
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Reports an Aug. 26 executive order restricting grid-equipment transactions tied to covered foreign entities.·
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Mocks neocloud fundraising projections and effectively infinite future TAM assumptions.·
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Explains that investment edge must be differentiated yet simple enough to become eventual consensus.·
2026-08-28·@ShanuMathew93·Compares fiber and power-transmission economics, emphasizing transmission's financing and expansion disadvantages.·
2026-08-27·@ShanuMathew93·Argues AI labs must vertically integrate into products because standalone models face organizational adoption inertia.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.