Author
@simon_ree simon_ree
grade Bx.com/simon_ree ↗
Cross-asset macro thinker tracing yield, oil and breadth divergences with mechanistic depth
Posts original, reasoning-heavy macro and cross-asset analys
trader score
-1.22
hit rate
30%
mean α
-0.53%
signals 14d
37
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 30% hit rate, -0.53% mean alpha, trader score -1.22. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +4.3% since posting (mean over 25 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | SMH | @simon_ree | +0.15 | The desk note identifies two SMH levels that determine whether a washout bounce can persist. | -2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @simon_ree | -0.40 | The desk note identifies two SMH levels that determine whether a washout bounce can persist. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | QQQ | @simon_ree | +0.20 | A major technical support level is identified for technology, but the chart is required. | -3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SPY | @simon_ree | -0.10 | The desk note cites distressed CRWV bonds and a $10.6B dealer short-gamma flip near SPY's 50-day. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CRWV | @simon_ree | -0.55 | The desk note cites distressed CRWV bonds and a $10.6B dealer short-gamma flip near SPY's 50-day. | -22.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | DELL | @simon_ree | -0.45 | The author says AI-credit stress, not Barclays' downgrade, drove server stocks lower. | -3.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | HPE | @simon_ree | -0.35 | The author says AI-credit stress, not Barclays' downgrade, drove server stocks lower. | -3.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CRWV | @simon_ree | -0.70 | The author says AI-credit stress, not Barclays' downgrade, drove server stocks lower. | -22.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | SPY | @simon_ree | +0.15 | Desk note frames a low-volume flat SPY as hard to short and highlights cross-market divergences before CPI. | -1.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | ORCL | @simon_ree | -0.10 | Desk note frames a low-volume flat SPY as hard to short and highlights cross-market divergences before CPI. | -3.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | · | @simon_ree | · | Explains why inflation alone cannot reduce US debt and outlines signals for financial repression. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | · | @simon_ree | · | Questions capex economics using $50B and 28 years of revenue, but the company is unidentified. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | · | @simon_ree | · | Cites CBO estimates that the bill adds $4.7T to deficits through 2035 | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | · | @simon_ree | · | Warns that shorting after a decline is an unattractive entry despite secular and cyclical trends | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | · | @simon_ree | · | Finds bonds rose after four of five House flips since 1962 but notes today's conditions resemble the exception. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.