Author

@simon_ree simon_ree

Cross-asset macro thinker tracing yield, oil and breadth divergences with mechanistic depth

Posts original, reasoning-heavy macro and cross-asset analys

trader score
-0.10
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.05%
signals 14d
36

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.05% mean alpha, trader score -0.10. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.7% since posting (mean over 15 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-27NVDA@simon_ree+0.60Reports NVIDIA revenue and earnings beats, a $108B Q3 guide above consensus and strong FY2028 growth commentary.-4.6%
2026-08-26·@simon_ree·Expects Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote to reveal little about inflation, fiscal dominance or Fed policy.·
2026-08-26ZB@simon_ree+0.40Notes a bullish Wyckoff Spring setup in long bonds amid falling crude and updated gamma levels.·
2026-08-24BTC@simon_ree+0.55Frames inflationary policy and yield suppression as financial repression favorable to Bitcoin and gold.·
2026-08-24NVDA@simon_ree+0.15Links sanctions, Treasury buybacks and Nvidia's seven-day decline in a broader policy framework.+4.4%
2026-08-24·@simon_ree·Frames Iran sanctions, oil spreads, duration, gamma and a Bitcoin squeeze as the key Monday macro setup.·
2026-08-21·@simon_ree·Dryly warns that military intervention is becoming a driver of long-term bond yields.·
2026-08-20BTC@simon_ree+0.45Argues incoherent fiscal, sanctions and oil policy is driving gold, silver and Bitcoin as hard-asset hedges.·
2026-08-20SPY@simon_ree-0.50Highlights SPY below a key level, weak Walmart comps and the series' deepest negative-gamma reading into expiry.+0.9%
2026-08-20WMT@simon_ree-0.40Highlights SPY below a key level, weak Walmart comps and the series' deepest negative-gamma reading into expiry.-0.7%
2026-08-20·@simon_ree·Says only a decisive yield-curve-control intervention would work; incremental steps would unsettle markets.·
2026-08-20·@simon_ree·States an unspecified program expires November 4 and suggests policy plans may depend on midterm results.·
2026-08-20TNX@simon_ree-0.05Notes sarcastically that ten-year yields only reached fresh three-day lows after the buyback announcement.·
2026-08-20·@simon_ree·Argues undersized Treasury intervention invites attack and escalation, favoring precious metals as monetization grows.·
2026-08-20·@simon_ree·Argues an unnamed retailer's high-30s forward P/E is vulnerable after comparable growth halved.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.