@simon_ree simon_ree
Cross-asset macro thinker tracing yield, oil and breadth divergences with mechanistic depth
Posts original, reasoning-heavy macro and cross-asset analys
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 65% hit rate, +0.70% mean alpha, trader score +1.61. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -0.7% since posting (mean over 7 mentions with price data).
simon_ree is primarily publishing macro and market-structure caution, with risk framed around peace-deal optimism, gamma expiry, Fed communication uncertainty, and rising volatility. The actionable equity read is a rotation narrative: weaker semis and chip momentum versus stronger financials and quality exposure. No explicit calls, position disclosures, or news breaks appeared in the supplied window.
The author stayed consistently cautious on the macro tape, emphasizing fragile positioning, expiring cushions, and structurally higher volatility. Equity-level concentration sits in a rotation call: bearish SMH and chip momentum, constructive XLF and SPHQ as leadership alternatives. There are no explicit adds, trims, exits, or CALL_DIRECTIONAL trades in the payload.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @simon_ree | · | Says market is prioritising receipts over promises again. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SMH | @simon_ree | -0.65 | flat semis into long weekend, not buying the dip — Says semis had worst two days in over a year and author is flat, not buying the dip. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SNDK | @simon_ree | -0.55 | Argues semis' sharp two-day reversals show beta squeeze/liquidation, not a new bull market. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | INTC | @simon_ree | -0.45 | Argues semis' sharp two-day reversals show beta squeeze/liquidation, not a new bull market. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | KLAC | @simon_ree | -0.55 | Argues semis' sharp two-day reversals show beta squeeze/liquidation, not a new bull market. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @simon_ree | · | Frames yen weakness and cheap funding as underpinning risky trades with eventual payback risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | · | @simon_ree | · | Contrasts speculative equity rallies with bond market caution, implying bond market may be right. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | · | @simon_ree | · | Author remains cautious on crowded semis and unwilling to chase mega-cap bounce after rebalance. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-28 | · | @simon_ree | · | Framework arguing markets now shape confidence, spending, earnings and the economy they price. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | · | @simon_ree | · | Says German automakers face an existential crisis after driving Chinese EVs. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | DRAM | @simon_ree | -0.20 | Memory supercycle would raise inflation/yields; temporary shortage would mean pain for chip stocks. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | SMH | @simon_ree | -0.25 | Memory supercycle would raise inflation/yields; temporary shortage would mean pain for chip stocks. | -3.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | · | @simon_ree | · | Author believes memory shortage is temporary and chip sector pain is coming. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | MU | @simon_ree | +0.15 | Memory pricing forces hardware price hikes into consumers, passing inflation shock from oil to DRAM. | -13.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | AAPL | @simon_ree | -0.30 | Memory pricing forces hardware price hikes into consumers, passing inflation shock from oil to DRAM. | +8.8% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.