Author
@StableBread StableBread
grade Ax.com/StableBread ↗
Rigorous long-only fundamental deep-diver on AI-infra SPACs and small-cap value.
Publishes long-form, valuation-driven fundamental research a
trader score
-1.09
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.92%
signals 14d
120
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.92% mean alpha, trader score -1.09. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -2.5% since posting (mean over 66 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | FTEK | @StableBread | +0.65 | Builds a bullish value thesis from FUEL CHEM growth, valuation and recurring coal-generation demand. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | FTEK | @StableBread | +0.70 | Builds a quantified thesis that data-center turbine permitting creates a major SCR opportunity for FTEK. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StableBread | · | Describes protected downside and data-center orders as the short-term catalyst and upside. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StableBread | · | Cites cash, no debt, data-center orders, new leadership, and acquisitions as potential upside drivers. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @StableBread | +0.40 | Argues Nvidia's B300 cloud status helped an unnamed firm secure the Thinking Machines deal. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | FTEK | @StableBread | +0.00 | Links to the author's 4,000-word FTEK research deep dive without a visible directional conclusion. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | FTEK | @StableBread | +0.65 | Detailed bullish value thesis citing cash-adjusted valuation and AI data-center optionality. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | BRUN | @StableBread | +0.50 | Argues the CDW deal validates BRUN's technical credibility and market access. | -17.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @StableBread | · | Explains how to normalize owner earnings using after-tax EPS and share count. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @StableBread | · | Discloses that 90% of the portfolio is invested, without naming holdings. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | ARMS | @StableBread | +0.35 | Argues ARMS monetization depends on billable GPU-hours beginning when service starts in December. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @StableBread | · | Discusses $110M of funded capex, no long-term debt and whether a remaining $72M ATM will finance the next phase. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @StableBread | · | Says Alani scanner sales rose 55.7% while only 21% was reflected in revenue, but no ticker is identified. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-26 | · | @StableBread | · | Advocates deep fundamental research, downside protection, long holding periods and cash for market dislocations. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-25 | CELH | @StableBread | +0.65 | Frames CELH as an early-stage compounding opportunity rather than requiring perfect execution. | -6.7% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.