Author
@Stevendiaz Stevendiaz
grade Bx.com/Stevendiaz ↗
Transparent, high-conviction AI hardware supply-chain bull who shows his work
Builds and continually updates thematic bull theses across t
trader score
-0.49
hit rate
40%
mean α
-0.27%
signals 14d
20
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, -0.27% mean alpha, trader score -0.49. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.2% since posting (mean over 13 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Stevendiaz | · | Argues high financing costs threaten AI-sector investment and could ultimately damage GDP. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @Stevendiaz | · | Links inflation, Treasury-yield reversal, recession risk, Iran-war energy prices, rates, and AI capex. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | · | @Stevendiaz | · | Discusses execution, financing, capacity buildout, and long-term winners among unnamed competitors. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | CIFR | @Stevendiaz | -0.65 | Reports CIFR convertible financing and argues it creates severe dilution risk versus POET. | -30.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | POET | @Stevendiaz | +0.40 | Reports CIFR convertible financing and argues it creates severe dilution risk versus POET. | -13.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | MU | @Stevendiaz | +0.45 | Calls the AI-sector selloff unjustified and argues discounted MU should not be singled out versus CXMT. | -7.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | AVGO | @Stevendiaz | +0.05 | Calls the AI-sector selloff unjustified and argues discounted MU should not be singled out versus CXMT. | -10.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | ASTS | @Stevendiaz | -0.60 | Author says they have never liked ASTS because its case depends on uncertain future outcomes and much remains unproven. | -21.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-08 | · | @Stevendiaz | · | Says repeated news-driven selloffs show the market is tense and reacts before verifying reports. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | WOLF | @Stevendiaz | +0.15 | Reports a $1.5 billion government loan that improves debt flexibility but not weak operations. | -26.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | MU | @Stevendiaz | +0.20 | Says strong earnings are being muted by war, debt, dilution and higher-rate concerns. | -19.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | PENG | @Stevendiaz | +0.35 | Says strong earnings are being muted by war, debt, dilution and higher-rate concerns. | -26.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | APLD | @Stevendiaz | +0.20 | Says strong earnings are being muted by war, debt, dilution and higher-rate concerns. | -23.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | IWM | @Stevendiaz | -0.50 | Compares one-month QQQ and IWM returns and links small-cap weakness to rate sensitivity. | -0.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | QQQ | @Stevendiaz | +0.35 | Compares one-month QQQ and IWM returns and links small-cap weakness to rate sensitivity. | -7.0% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.