@Stevendiaz Stevendiaz
Transparent, high-conviction AI hardware supply-chain bull who shows his work
Builds and continually updates thematic bull theses across t
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-07-03.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 75% hit rate, +4.68% mean alpha, trader score +3.67. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -6.5% since posting (mean over 326 mentions with price data).
Stevendiaz is concentrated in memory and AI infrastructure, with direct MU exposure exited but DRAM retained as the preferred memory vehicle. His distinctive read is that AI infrastructure weakness is an opportunity, especially NBIS and smaller data-center names, while META, MSFT, CRWV and IREN are treated more skeptically. Late week he reiterated being out of MU and IREN, still preferring DRAM and NBIS, while adding or planning adds in RKLB, NBIS, CRDO, BE and select selloff names.
The author flipped from emphatic direct MU bullishness to exiting MU and holding memory through DRAM after CXMT and Samsung capacity risks surfaced, while still arguing memory fundamentals remain strong. Conviction intensified around AI infrastructure, especially NBIS, KEEL and HIVE, with explicit adds or hold disclosures after the selloff. Concentration risk is highest in MU and RKLB-linked themes, with repeated position framing and trade calls clustered around those names.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | KEEL | @Stevendiaz | +0.00 | Notes NBIS trading +5.5% in Germany and KEEL/HIVE later in Canada. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | HIVE | @Stevendiaz | +0.00 | Notes NBIS trading +5.5% in Germany and KEEL/HIVE later in Canada. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-03 | NBIS | @Stevendiaz | +0.25 | Notes NBIS trading +5.5% in Germany and KEEL/HIVE later in Canada. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CRWV | @Stevendiaz | -0.50 | Discloses being out of IREN and prefers NBIS over CRWV due to fundamentals. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IREN | @Stevendiaz | -0.70 | Discloses being out of IREN and prefers NBIS over CRWV due to fundamentals. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ONDS | @Stevendiaz | +0.00 | Discloses being out of IREN and prefers NBIS over CRWV due to fundamentals. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | NBIS | @Stevendiaz | +0.65 | Discloses being out of IREN and prefers NBIS over CRWV due to fundamentals. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Stevendiaz | · | Says memory company fundamentals keep improving despite possible 10-20% correction. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DRAM | @Stevendiaz | +0.55 | Says he exited MU a week ago but remains invested in memory via DRAM. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | @Stevendiaz | +0.35 | Says he exited MU a week ago but remains invested in memory via DRAM. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | DRAM | @Stevendiaz | +0.45 | Reports Korean rebound, Samsung/Hynix gains and DRAM +5% versus prior close. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CRWV | @Stevendiaz | +0.35 | Argues AI infrastructure selloff lacks fundamental justification and sees valuations becoming interesting. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | WULF | @Stevendiaz | +0.35 | Argues AI infrastructure selloff lacks fundamental justification and sees valuations becoming interesting. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CIFR | @Stevendiaz | +0.35 | Argues AI infrastructure selloff lacks fundamental justification and sees valuations becoming interesting. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | APLD | @Stevendiaz | +0.35 | Argues AI infrastructure selloff lacks fundamental justification and sees valuations becoming interesting. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.