@acemoney21 acemoney21
Thematic macro-meets-supply-chain trader weaving rates regime into defense and semis picks
Posts conviction-driven, ticker-specific theses that link bo
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 30% hit rate, -1.64% mean alpha, trader score -2.30. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -4.8% since posting (mean over 77 mentions with price data).
acemoney21 is most concentrated in TE, framing it as a Section 232, solar reshoring, BESS integration, and hyperscaler power-infrastructure long while explicitly disclosing a long. The author also likes ADEA’s hybrid-bonding setup and later calls TE, ADEA, and PENG more actionable, while staying structurally bearish crude and tactical about rates/SOFR volatility. The clearest late-window shift is SHMD, moving from a near-term bearish view on selling pressure to a >1-year long call.
Conviction is concentrated in TE and ADEA, with TE carrying the largest pump-risk because it dominates the author’s single-name discussion and includes explicit long disclosure. The author is consistently bearish crude, increasingly focused on index momentum-unwind risk into late June and July, and newly active in rates/SOFR volatility setups. SHMD shows the clearest flip: bearish near-term due to selling pressure on June 16, then a bullish >1-year long call on June 20.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | BTC | @acemoney21 | +0.40 | Suggests BTC is next in a counter-trade month, implying a bullish setup. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @acemoney21 | · | Author says they flattened all risk into the close and expects a squeeze may get sold. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @acemoney21 | · | Semiconductor ETFs running almost 2x average 30-day volume. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BTC | @acemoney21 | +0.25 | Says July is the month to trade things that have not worked all year, including BTC and GLD. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | IHI | @acemoney21 | +0.30 | Identifies strength rotating into financials, healthcare, staples, biotech and medical devices ETFs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | XLV | @acemoney21 | +0.35 | Identifies strength rotating into financials, healthcare, staples, biotech and medical devices ETFs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | XLF | @acemoney21 | +0.35 | Identifies strength rotating into financials, healthcare, staples, biotech and medical devices ETFs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | XLP | @acemoney21 | +0.30 | Identifies strength rotating into financials, healthcare, staples, biotech and medical devices ETFs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | XBI | @acemoney21 | +0.30 | Identifies strength rotating into financials, healthcare, staples, biotech and medical devices ETFs. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | SPX | @acemoney21 | +0.20 | Unsure on July FOMC but says SPX may grind higher through summer. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @acemoney21 | · | Says July first half is tough for year-to-date winners and second half may differ. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @acemoney21 | · | Jobs and unemployment prints leave little support for bulls wanting dovishness. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | FROG | @acemoney21 | +0.35 | Says SaaS highest return names are FROG and ADBE while PLTR and CRWD are heavily traded. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | CRWD | @acemoney21 | +0.15 | Says SaaS highest return names are FROG and ADBE while PLTR and CRWD are heavily traded. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | ADBE | @acemoney21 | +0.35 | Says SaaS highest return names are FROG and ADBE while PLTR and CRWD are heavily traded. | — | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.