Author

@acemoney21 acemoney21

Thematic macro-meets-supply-chain trader weaving rates regime into defense and semis picks

Posts conviction-driven, ticker-specific theses that link bo

trader score
+0.65
hit rate
73%
mean α
+0.25%
signals 14d
24

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 15 scored bets: 73% hit rate, +0.25% mean alpha, trader score +0.65. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +3.5% since posting (mean over 8 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-10-16AAPL@acemoney21-0.30Expects Apple to be sold during final capitulation, which would signal the decline is nearly over.+1.2%
2026-10-16·@acemoney21·Argues cracks are emerging in the perpetual AI capex-growth thesis that supported earnings and multiples.·
2026-10-16·@acemoney21·Describes a feedback loop between AI-led markets, higher rates and capital dispersal into the real economy.·
2026-10-14·@acemoney21·Expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates in October.·
2026-10-13·@acemoney21·Author characterizes US equities as exceptionally resilient during the current political term.·
2026-10-10ECH@acemoney21-0.35Questions whether the Chile ETF will ever perform and asks who still holds it.·
2026-10-10·@acemoney21·Contrarianly expects indexes to rally after Cem Karsen calls for a 20-40% decline.·
2026-10-09BTC@acemoney21-0.25Identifies a chart region as a change in Bitcoin's trend while noting a past bottom purchase.·
2026-10-09IWM@acemoney21-0.65Calls IWM's 200DMA bounce weak and attributes it to short covering rather than genuine buying.-1.1%
2026-10-08TLT@acemoney21+0.55Long TLT, IWM and DIA versus QQQ/semis, but with a short shelf life. — Outlines a tactical rotation trade favoring duration and cyclicals over QQQ.+4.5%
2026-10-08IWM@acemoney21+0.45Long TLT, IWM and DIA versus QQQ/semis, but with a short shelf life. — Outlines a tactical rotation trade favoring duration and cyclicals over QQQ.-0.7%
2026-10-08DIA@acemoney21+0.40Long TLT, IWM and DIA versus QQQ/semis, but with a short shelf life. — Outlines a tactical rotation trade favoring duration and cyclicals over QQQ.+1.9%
2026-10-08QQQ@acemoney21-0.25Long TLT, IWM and DIA versus QQQ/semis, but with a short shelf life. — Outlines a tactical rotation trade favoring duration and cyclicals over QQQ.-5.8%
2026-10-08·@acemoney21·Questions whether AI equity valuations and debt issuance depend on universally assumed EPS growth.·
2026-10-07·@acemoney21·Endorses humanoid robotics as a cost-saving trend requiring better sensing and imaging.·

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.