Author
@Bogachan_1971 Bogachan_1971
grade Bx.com/Bogachan_1971 ↗
Anti-Fed perma-bear macro trader; gold as the only honest money, manipulation everywhere
Posts long-form bearish macro frameworks linking oil/energy
trader score
+0.26
hit rate
70%
mean α
+0.19%
signals 14d
74
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 70% hit rate, +0.19% mean alpha, trader score +0.26. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +7.9% since posting (mean over 48 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.65 | Argues insiders crowded into Tesla's Roadster event and rushed to exit as AI peripherals weakened. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | ORCL | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.30 | Argues insiders crowded into Tesla's Roadster event and rushed to exit as AI peripherals weakened. | -1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.35 | Argues insiders crowded into Tesla's Roadster event and rushed to exit as AI peripherals weakened. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @Bogachan_1971 | · | Warns that markets may be returning to a long-volatility regime that could cause large hedge-fund losses. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.90 | Calls CoreWeave a Ponzi-like company priced for a 60% default rate and questions whether it is bleeding. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | PLTR | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.55 | Says he repeatedly hesitates before shorting Tesla or Palantir despite distrusting their fundamentals. | +5.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.65 | Says he repeatedly hesitates before shorting Tesla or Palantir despite distrusting their fundamentals. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | EWJ | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.20 | Recaps closing AI-peripheral shorts, attempting longs, selling them, and expecting greater later downside. | -0.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | EWY | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.20 | Recaps closing AI-peripheral shorts, attempting longs, selling them, and expecting greater later downside. | +0.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CRWV | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.75 | Recaps closing AI-peripheral shorts, attempting longs, selling them, and expecting greater later downside. | -11.7% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NVDA | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.15 | Recaps closing AI-peripheral shorts, attempting longs, selling them, and expecting greater later downside. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | TSLA | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.70 | Recaps staying short Tesla until covering yesterday while maintaining a deeply bearish fundamental view. | +4.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | CRWV | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.90 | Calls CoreWeave fundamentally unsound and predicts eventual fallout from an AI bubble, while warning against shorting now. | -22.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @Bogachan_1971 | · | Poses a bearish Nasdaq scenario involving bond yields above 6% and oil above $130. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AAPL | @Bogachan_1971 | -0.15 | Sell AI peripherals on weakness and buy core exposure through NVDA. — Explicitly recommends Nvidia over CoreWeave and Oracle and describes a core-versus-periphery strategy. | +1.7% | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.