Author
@convequity convequity
Pseudonymous deep-research team mapping AI optics/compute supply-chain bottlenecks to obscure names
Publish long-form, heavily-tickered fundamental theses ident
trader score
-0.53
hit rate
50%
mean α
-0.28%
signals 14d
145
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 50% hit rate, -0.28% mean alpha, trader score -0.53. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.9% since posting (mean over 121 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | LEU | @convequity | +0.35 | Advanced-reactor economics depend on scale and constrained HALEU/TRISO fuel supply chains. | -10.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | XE | @convequity | +0.20 | Advanced-reactor economics depend on scale and constrained HALEU/TRISO fuel supply chains. | +2.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NVDA | @convequity | -0.55 | Argues increasing AI specialization makes Nvidia GPUs more replaceable and weakens the moat. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | CDNS | @convequity | -0.20 | 3D-chip complexity may create specialist-tool opportunities rather than an automatic windfall for EDA incumbents. | -0.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | AVGO | @convequity | +0.10 | 3D-chip complexity may create specialist-tool opportunities rather than an automatic windfall for EDA incumbents. | -2.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | NVDA | @convequity | +0.10 | 3D-chip complexity may create specialist-tool opportunities rather than an automatic windfall for EDA incumbents. | -1.5% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | SNPS | @convequity | -0.20 | 3D-chip complexity may create specialist-tool opportunities rather than an automatic windfall for EDA incumbents. | -5.4% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | MNDY | @convequity | -0.25 | MNDY's AI revenue remains small and leadership requires making work outcomes verifiable. | +17.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AVGO | @convequity | +0.85 | Raises AVGO portfolio weight from 2.2% to 3.4% on a stronger growth thesis. | -6.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | AVGO | @convequity | +0.65 | Questions NVDA's valuation as customization erodes CUDA advantages and favors AVGO as labs build chips. | -6.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @convequity | -0.55 | Questions NVDA's valuation as customization erodes CUDA advantages and favors AVGO as labs build chips. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | SPCX | @convequity | +0.15 | Orbital-compute returns depend more on chip manufacturing costs than launch economics. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | FTNT | @convequity | +0.60 | AI worms on unmanaged devices could increase demand for FTNT discovery and network segmentation. | -1.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | @convequity | +0.35 | Argues Chinese unit-share data overstate Nvidia's lost economic exposure to Huawei. | -2.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @convequity | · | Proposes a software-specific ROIC framework that includes acquisitions, SBC, cash and commitments. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.