Ticker brief
FLY FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC
Industrial · Aerospace/Defense
last close
$18.23
1 day
+4.1%
14 days
-8.9%
mkt cap
$4.7B
signals 14d
19
authors 14d
14
crowd 14d
-2.8σ
Options inteloptions-surface reads · latest available day per source
| metric | reading | context |
|---|---|---|
| IV — ATM 30d | 107% mid · 29 pctile own 1y | IV/HV 1.41× |
| Skew — 25Δ RR 30d | +0.098 80 pctile own 1y | balanced vs own range |
| Net dealer OI (NDOI) | +0.95 normal | 5-session Δ +0.91 (as of 2026-07-06) |
| OI alarm | quiet | last alarm 2026-05-27 (z=2.1) |
Sentiment — last 14 days
daily mean sentiment, 2026-10-05 → 2026-10-16 · now +0.00 (−1 bearish … +1 bullish)
Who spoke14
| author | grade | trader score | signals | mean sent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @PSInvestor | B | -2.02 | 3 | +0.13 |
| @SpaceSector001 | C | -0.16 | 2 | +0.28 |
| @RKLBMan | C | -2.29 | 2 | +0.45 |
| @BoggleRiley | C | +0.59 | 2 | -0.05 |
| @jeffsiegel | C | -1.44 | 1 | +0.50 |
| @stocksnipa | C | +2.26 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @JonkooTrades | B | +0.10 | 1 | -0.50 |
| @StockSavvyShay | B | -1.05 | 1 | +0.20 |
| @HunterAllen4 | C | -2.09 | 1 | +0.25 |
| @bugra_kurtoglu | C | -0.19 | 1 | +0.05 |
| @UltimateTrad8r | C | -0.10 | 1 | +0.55 |
| @esenkaratekin | C | -2.52 | 1 | -0.35 |
| @AlmaCap114204 | A | +1.17 | 1 | -0.40 |
| @szaman | C | -1.51 | 1 | +0.55 |
Recent signals19of 19 in 14d — receipts included
| date (PT) | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | @PSInvestor | +0.00 | Reports Piper initiating RDW at Neutral with an $11 target and evaluates the peer methodology. | +8.8% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | @RKLBMan | +0.40 | Praises the rebound and long-term importance of four space-sector companies. | +2.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | @szaman | +0.55 | Add RCAT, RDW and FLY. — Explicitly instructs adding three named stocks. | +7.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | @AlmaCap114204 | -0.40 | Retrospectively assesses prior calls as right on New Glenn and wrong on RKLB and FLY launch cadence. | +7.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | @esenkaratekin | -0.35 | Contrasts record private space funding with persistent weakness in public space stocks | +7.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | @UltimateTrad8r | +0.55 | Placed a speculative buy bid on FLY. — Explicitly discloses a new speculative bid to buy FLY. | -0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | @bugra_kurtoglu | +0.05 | Notes FLY is at its lowest price since IPO and suggests adding it to a watch list. | -0.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @BoggleRiley | -0.25 | Recaps session returns across five names and asks whether TMC's decline is a dip or trend. | -5.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | @BoggleRiley | +0.15 | Reports positive opening performance and intraday positioning for three stocks. | -5.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-11 | @HunterAllen4 | +0.25 | Builds a long-term basket around geospatial intelligence, satellite data and space infrastructure. | -8.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-10 | @StockSavvyShay | +0.20 | Maps a bullish space-industry basket across launch, spectrum, manufacturing and services. | -8.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-09 | @PSInvestor | +0.20 | Reports broad positive premarket performance across a space-stock basket. | -8.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @JonkooTrades | -0.50 | Says space-sector bulls were humbled by the day's declines across four named stocks. | -15.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @RKLBMan | +0.50 | Explicitly says six space stocks will benefit. | -15.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @SpaceSector001 | +0.40 | Frames potential NASA bulk launch purchases as a multi-company lunar supply-chain opportunity led by RKLB. | -15.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-07 | @SpaceSector001 | +0.15 | Argues the named space companies should be represented as industry leaders on a rocket panel. | -15.2% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-06 | @PSInvestor | +0.20 | Reports mostly positive price performance across space stocks, with ASTS leading. | -20.1% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @stocksnipa | +0.20 | Compares reported backlogs across six emerging space and defense companies. | -19.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-05 | @jeffsiegel | +0.50 | Presents Firefly Aerospace as an overlooked space-stock opportunity. | -19.3% | tweet ↗ |
“Since then” = price move from the close on the signal's date (PT) to the latest close — what happened after they said it, not a backtest. A — means no trading session has closed since the signal yet. Sentiment is our extracted per-tweet score, −1…+1.