Author
@conviction_meta conviction_meta
grade Ax.com/conviction_meta ↗
Contrarian cross-asset bear on crypto, bull on AI-infra and small-cap equities
Builds multi-year macro/thematic frameworks contrasting an o
trader score
+0.30
hit rate
40%
mean α
+0.25%
signals 14d
68
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 20 scored bets: 40% hit rate, +0.25% mean alpha, trader score +0.30. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -5.9% since posting (mean over 19 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Author says all selected low-cap equities feel as though they have bottomed. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | BTC | @conviction_meta | +0.40 | Forecasts sideways accumulation as Bitcoin ownership shifts from retail toward institutions before an uptrend. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | BTC | @conviction_meta | +0.25 | Notes the April-June three-month Bitcoin candle remained green through May and links behavior to higher-timeframe outcomes. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | AOSL | @conviction_meta | +0.00 | References an AOSL weekly chart but provides no textual interpretation. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-28 | AOSL | @conviction_meta | +0.40 | Identifies a chart-defined AOSL buy zone without explicit personal entry intent. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | @conviction_meta | +0.00 | Shares a weekly NVDA scenario chart through year-end without textual direction. | -4.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | BTC | @conviction_meta | -0.35 | Argues crypto is overvalued and fundamentally weak despite the broader bull market. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | ZEC | @conviction_meta | -0.45 | Argues crypto is overvalued and fundamentally weak despite the broader bull market. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Argues meaningless altcoins may never regain highs and could take decades to bottom. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | CRWV | @conviction_meta | +0.60 | Praises both neoclouds while expressing a preference for U.S.-based CRWV. | -3.0% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | NBIS | @conviction_meta | +0.35 | Praises both neoclouds while expressing a preference for U.S.-based CRWV. | -4.3% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Plans to favor U.S.-based companies as a thematic AI-boom basket. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | BTC | @conviction_meta | +0.45 | Calls most crypto a promotional scheme while treating Bitcoin as the sole fundamental asset. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Says altcoin charts remain unattractive and need substantially more time. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-08-27 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Expects crypto weakness to persist until regulation arrives and equities peak. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.