Author
@conviction_meta conviction_meta
grade Ax.com/conviction_meta ↗
Contrarian cross-asset bear on crypto, bull on AI-infra and small-cap equities
Builds multi-year macro/thematic frameworks contrasting an o
trader score
+1.20
hit rate
57%
mean α
+0.91%
signals 14d
72
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.
Their picks, scored
Across their last 14 scored bets: 57% hit rate, +0.91% mean alpha, trader score +1.20. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -6.2% since posting (mean over 10 mentions with price data).
Recent signals15receipts included
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Argues crypto needs a reset while expressing doubts about the broader thesis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Reaffirms a bearish crypto thesis based on worsening corruption and scams. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Calls the current pump leveraged and expects it to cause a worse breakdown. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Documents dates when two crypto commentators flipped from bearish to bullish. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-16 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Frames crypto as resembling the speculative and unstable 1920s era. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Dismisses purported fresh crypto-market capital as unreal. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-15 | · | @conviction_meta | · | States that the market has not reached a bottom. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | IWM | @conviction_meta | +0.40 | Says the Russell 2000 is approaching a local bottom before midterm consolidation. | +1.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-14 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Discloses that all available cash has been invested in equities amid a continuing dip. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | BTC | @conviction_meta | -0.25 | Skeptical BTC can reach a new high by Christmas and criticizes ZEC-over-BTC promotion | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | ZEC | @conviction_meta | -0.10 | Skeptical BTC can reach a new high by Christmas and criticizes ZEC-over-BTC promotion | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | BTC | @conviction_meta | -0.25 | Questions whether a 40% three-month rise confirms Bitcoin's bottom | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-13 | BTC | @conviction_meta | -0.20 | Mocks another trader's past bearish-to-bullish flip at $123,000 | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Criticizes delusional crypto promotion and warns followers may become exit liquidity. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-10-12 | · | @conviction_meta | · | Will likely set a stop loss if fundamentals deteriorate. — States forward intent to set a stop, but the asset is only visible in linked context. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.