@Globalflows Globalflows
Macro liquidity strategist mapping credit-cycle melt-up into asymmetric crypto and AI bets
Builds a top-down cross-asset framework around rates, FX, cr
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 20 scored bets: 35% hit rate, -0.84% mean alpha, trader score -0.92. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.0% since posting (mean over 7 mentions with price data).
Globalflows is concentrated in PURR and ORCL, repeatedly disclosing PURR as the largest position and later naming PURR and ORCL as the two largest positions. The distinctive read is a liquidity-led risk-on regime driven by AI capex, crypto risk appetite, and Japan carry-trade dynamics, with fundamentals treated as secondary to flows. Late-window emphasis shifts toward Japan yen devaluation, Nikkei strength, Warsh/Fed regime framing, and an ORCL calls catalyst thesis.
Conviction is concentrated in PURR and ORCL, with repeated PURR largest-position disclosures and a later explicit ORCL calls disclosure. Macro posting shifts heavily toward Japan carry-trade liquidity, yen weakness, Nikkei strength, and Warsh/Fed regime framing late in the window. PURR concentration is high, creating pump-risk around a single disclosed long while ORCL emerges as the other major expressed trade.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Globalflows | · | Promotes a slide deck on how China could hurt Mag7. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | BTC | @Globalflows | +0.35 | Addresses Bitcoin believers approvingly but relies on missing linked context. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Globalflows | · | Raises question whether China could crash the AI trade, but no standalone thesis beyond title. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | AMZN | @Globalflows | +0.05 | Speculates cheap Chinese AI models could pressure OpenAI and Anthropic and shift AI market share. | — | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Globalflows | · | Expresses broad bullish U.S. exceptionalism view. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Globalflows | · | Argues short Silicon Valley and long American defense revolution as innovation shifts to defense. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | · | @Globalflows | · | Says macro drivers explain 80%+ of market moves and flows are not pushing equities into bear market. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Globalflows | · | Title says interest rate volatility is compressing for the next move, but details require link context. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Globalflows | · | Livestream title asks if China could crash AI trade; no standalone analysis. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Globalflows | · | Author says defense is the next investment opportunity but names no public ticker. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Globalflows | · | Author says Move Index and FX volatility will set next stage for market risk. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Globalflows | · | Author says equities remain skewed to upside until macro drivers unwind positioning. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | SPX | @Globalflows | +0.00 | Author links interest-rate volatility, SPX implied correlation and equity concentration regime. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Globalflows | · | Author says interest-rate volatility is the signal to watch for a new macro regime. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | · | @Globalflows | · | Author says compute and carry-trade tail risks will be the next big trade likely run. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.