@Jesse_Livermore Jesse_Livermore
Pseudonymous value-macro thinker dissecting the AI bubble with first-principles business-model frameworks
Posts long-form, reply-heavy threads building original econo
Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY. · Analyst brief as of 2026-06-22.
Across their last 19 scored bets: 58% hit rate, +0.71% mean alpha, trader score +1.14. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved +10.8% since posting (mean over 2 mentions with price data).
Jesse_Livermore is mainly focused on valuation risk, data center backlash, and skepticism toward speculative wealth creation rather than making active single-name calls. The strongest ticker-anchored view is bearish SPY via near-2000-style valuation comparisons and over-earning risk, while BTC is framed as vulnerable to fundamentals-driven buyer fatigue. No explicit trades, position disclosures, or news breaks appeared in the supplied window.
The author’s concentration sits in macro caution: SPY valuation risk, data center backlash, and skepticism toward speculative pumps. There are no supplied CALL_DIRECTIONAL or POSITION_DISCLOSURE signals, so there is no evidence of adds, trims, exits, or a tradeable flip. Late-window posts returned to data center political backlash on June 21, but without a named public ticker.
| date (PT) | ticker | author | sent | what they said | since then | receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | · | @Jesse_Livermore | · | Argues consumers create inflation and shortages, implying supply-side inflation pressure. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-27 | · | @Jesse_Livermore | · | Macro framework says demand is easy and supply is the hard economic constraint. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | · | @Jesse_Livermore | · | Constructive view that some cryptocurrencies may sustainably serve as digitized scarcity. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | · | @Jesse_Livermore | · | Frames NFT spending as driven by crypto boom wealth effects. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | META | @Jesse_Livermore | +0.10 | Contrasts tech bubble partial vindication with NFT bubble lacking coherent business logic. | +5.9% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | · | @Jesse_Livermore | · | Calls NFT bubble of 2020-2021 the biggest bubble in history. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-23 | MARA | @Jesse_Livermore | -0.55 | Criticizes MARA BTC mining data center as harmful to community and Texas. | -15.6% | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-21 | · | @Jesse_Livermore | · | Data center backlash/noise concern is a thematic risk, but no public ticker named. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-21 | · | @Jesse_Livermore | · | Warns data center backlash could become politically significant in Texas. | · | tweet ↗ |
| 2026-06-20 | · | @Jesse_Livermore | · | Compares human brain efficiency to AI in energy and data terms. | · | tweet ↗ |
Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.