Author

@KampnerSam KampnerSam

Thoughtful AI-disruption stock analyst dissecting software winners, losers, and infra buildout

Posts original, framework-grounded fundamental theses — most

trader score
+0.20
hit rate
30%
mean α
+0.13%
signals 14d
34

Grade = how their written analysis reads (A best). Trader score = how their last-20 timestamped calls performed vs SPY.

Their picks, scored

Across their last 20 scored bets: 30% hit rate, +0.13% mean alpha, trader score +0.20. Their last-14d mentions, direction-adjusted, have moved -1.0% since posting (mean over 20 mentions with price data).

Recent signals15receipts included
date (PT)tickerauthorsentwhat they saidsince thenreceipt
2026-08-27OSCR@KampnerSam+0.40Frames AI as a cross-industry value layer and compares company-level beneficiaries.+1.4%
2026-08-27TGT@KampnerSam+0.40Frames AI as a cross-industry value layer and compares company-level beneficiaries.-1.7%
2026-08-27KLAR@KampnerSam+0.40Frames AI as a cross-industry value layer and compares company-level beneficiaries.+1.4%
2026-08-27UNH@KampnerSam+0.20Frames AI as a cross-industry value layer and compares company-level beneficiaries.-0.5%
2026-08-27NVDA@KampnerSam+0.30Remains bullish on the AI megatrend while highlighting cash-flow, ASIC and memory risks.-4.6%
2026-08-26SPCX@KampnerSam+0.60Contrasts profitable SpaceX with Anthropic's weak moat and risky path to profitability.·
2026-08-25SMTC@KampnerSam+0.45Hebrew text says Semtech looks interesting.+2.9%
2026-08-25·@KampnerSam·Author says new investment-analysis platform features are planned for release within one to two weeks.·
2026-08-25CDLR@KampnerSam+0.70CDLR doubled first-half revenue and operating profit while backlog approached €2.5 billion.·
2026-08-24NBIS@KampnerSam+0.25Positively remarks on another investor's conviction in NBIS.-0.8%
2026-08-24·@KampnerSam·Argues advanced AI hardware has sustainable economics and rejects a hardware-bubble thesis.·
2026-08-24·@KampnerSam·Rejects the claim that hyperscalers and neoclouds subsidize token usage unsustainably.·
2026-08-23·@KampnerSam·Cautions that many neoclouds have capped contracts and lack real pricing power.·
2026-08-23·@KampnerSam·Argues AI task automation generates 20x–50x returns and unprecedented economic value.·
2026-08-23OSCR@KampnerSam+0.30Views OSCR's reported 50% workflow savings as evidence supporting broader AI efficiency gains.-4.9%

Grade is our human read-worthiness rating; trader score is a rolling 20-bet hit-rate/alpha composite — different things, often disagreeing. “Since then” is direction-unaware in the table; the summary line above adjusts for which way they leaned.